Last week I covered my staking plan for Cheltenham, if you missed it, you can read it here. I also covered the Supreme Novices Hurdle and you can read that, here and then I covered the Queen Mother Champion Chase that you can read here.
Having decided to cover 16 races in my analysis, today I’m going to look at the Queen Mother Champion Chase.
This showpiece is a grueling 3 miles and 2 furlongs. It’s a Grade 1, Class 1 race. Arguably the best!
First thing on the list when analyzing these big races, as we’ve done with the other previews, is to look at the trends and this is a great way to narrow down the field and give us a head start.
Here are some of the key trends in the race –
16 of the last 16 winners had won a Grade 1 race previously
11 of the last 15 winners had a 1st or 2nd place at the Festival previously
14 of the last 15 winners had been in the top three of the betting
13 of the last 15 winners had been rated 166 or higher
15 of the last 17 winners had won earlier on in the season
Hardly, an original choice but Might Bite, the current favourite meets all of the trends. I really fancy his chances having won the King George VI on Boxing Day in convincing fashion. That sets him up nicely and he’s certainly got Festival form. He looks the one to beat and will be a win only bet for me. There’s still a bit of 4/1 about him and I expect him to go off nearer to 10/3 come race time.
So, after the last week, we’ve looked at three races and here are the selections, again –
Tuesday – Supreme Novices – Kalashnikov @ 5/1
Wednesday – Queen Mother – Altior @ 8/11
Friday – Gold Cup – Might Bite @ 4/1
That could make up a nice little Trixie bet for 4 points and 2 point singles for a total of 10 points.
I’ll be back next Tuesday, where I’ll actually be at the festival but will have a look at any market movers and few, last pointers to help you have a profitable festival.
There are two bets for the Turbo Winning System, today –
15:35 Southwell – Brother Tiger 4/1
15:55 Carlisle – Never Up 5/1
1 point double & 1 point singles
Back next week and it’s Festival week 😀