At times people looking at horses choose selections with the best form, the best jockey or even a trainer that’s in great form but for some reason they ignore the draw… the stall that the selection is running from. That’s really a little foolish because you can have the best horse in the race which is trained by the best trainer but because of the stall number drawn the horse has a more difficult chance than the form predicts.
Some racecourses are fairly straight forward but there are lots of courses where if you get the wrong draw it is very difficult to win from.
Let’s give you some examples:-
A) Take a course like Beverley where unless you are drawn low in the five furlongs races you have a much more difficult task and in a large field of say sixteen horses the higher you are drawn the less chance you have. That one reason I feel there are so many high drawn horses in the sprints at Beverley withdrawn before the start. Trainers give their excuses but why would an owner want to pay transport costs to Beverley plus jockey fee etc to run from a draw giving them little chance of even getting into the frame?
B) Thirsk over five furlongs on firm ground favours high drawn horses and again it’s not often a low drawn horse wins a sprint here. If you are drawn low at Thirsk on firm ground your chances of winning are slim even with the best horse in the race on form.
C) York has had a bias for a very long time in races over a trip of 10 furlongs. The problem here is that the wider your are drawn in the stall the more of a problem it is to get into the race behind the low drawn horses. Many times we have seen quality horses drawn almost in the car park in twenty plus runner races and as a result they have no real chance of winning. A solution is difficult… perhaps reduce the size of fields but then sponsors wouldn’t take too kindly to it. Perhaps we just note the problem and take a bad draw as a ‘no bet’ in that race.
D) Chester has a huge bias in sprint races as it a fairly reasonable assumption that unless you are drawn low then you chance of winning diminishes.
These are just four courses with draw bias problems. So I am going to give you some advice and that is if you are selecting a horse go to www.drawbias.com and check out their views on the draw you need to win. It’s free to use drawbias.com and very relevant.
Overall use this draw information as an extra tool and if your horse is not drawn favourably then don’t back it.
My service High Roller Racing offers you one selection maximum per day. The service is free to join and you only pay for winning selections. To join follow link below…