It has been a rather frustrating week for our investors. Too many close 2nd places and not enough winners was the story of last week. That’s just the nature of the game though and we remain close to our all-time top figures. It won’t take much to push on through and with the bets we have lined up this week, I am very positive we will see some good results.
The newsletter drew a blank last week the closest we came was with 12/1 shot TWO IN THE PINK who couldn’t quite reel in the leader who’s jockey was the one who won the race but kicking on early and catching everyone else flat footed.
We told you about OLDGRANGEWOOD a few weeks ago well he finally had his chasing bow and he looked like a machine. Not perfect at every jump he will come on a bundle for that first experience but the way he travelled suggested that he has a ton more left in the locker. He could do very well this season if he keeps improving.
We have plenty of horses in focus today so let’s not mess around.
This section is gaining quite a following and I can see why with winners up to 100/1.
It gives me the freedom to express what I know about the days racing and hopefully helps you in your selection process.
Tuesday’s horses in focus last week we had a few horses to take from the day.
TWO IN THE PINK – Came out of the race well and Goes at LINGFIELD on the 12th November an extra ½ furlong should help the horse. Odds will need to be above 4/1 to think about getting involved unless the race cuts up.
BARAZA – A mistake 3 out when in the lead put pay to his chance of winning eventually coming 3rd but only 1-½ lengths down with only 6 races into a career there will be plenty of improvement. He was entered up yesterday but wasn’t quite over the race a week ago so watch out for this one.
BUSH BEAUTY – Didn’t get a good run on the day it was very difficult to make up ground at Wolves and horses tended to win from the front end. Bush Beauty did well to get as close. She was finishing as strong as anything. I think this mare will pop up pretty soon in a race and she could be a big price so watch out for her.
SEDGEFIELD 1:00 Plenty of chances in this both FREE STONE HILL and MIDDLEBROW come out best and quite even on our speed ratings despite the first named finishing 20l behind Monbeg Charmer that could turn out to be good form. The spanner in the works could be PRIME VENTURE travelling a long way for this race. His shrewd handler should know where he is with this horse and at 11/4 may represent some value.
1:35 Johnny Farrelly has his horses in top order right now and DRUMLEE LAD may be the value in this race 10/1 but the prices are going fast! I am also surprised to see RESTRAINT OF TRADE so big 16/1 is a big price for a horse that comes out well on our ratings. Lots of possible dangers though so I wouldn’t want to get too deeply involved.
2:10 LE BREUIL goes again today but this will be the first time over obstacles. Connections were disappointed last race but this will be the one that all eyes are on. We have banged on about the potential of this horse he will need to win this well to regain our faith 7/4 on the exchanges looks fair. It has to be bet today. Cosette could be the one to chance him home.
2:40 I would have to side with the favourite BLAKEMOUNT if I was simply looking for the winner yet the price isn’t value at all for us we have the horse pencilled in at 4/1 so we simply can’t take 2/1. Both of Micky Hammonds runners ALDERBOOK LAD and ROXYFET would have chances if bouncing back to their best. I think ROXYFET e/w at 14/1 we have her down at 8/1 so there is quite a bit in the price. Yet still a risky prospect.
3:45 THEATRE BAR around 5/2 looks the way to go for a winner is this race. It’s well known that connections think this will win today and they usually are pretty close.
HUNTINGDON 1:10 RIVER FROST 11/4 is the one for us here. Working like a train at home connections may have found a nice race for him. First time up always a danger yet there is very little to beat or at least not much anyone is whispering about. He’s a value price with just 1 to beat.
1:40 CHARLIE MON and ELKSTONE both stand out at the prices around 12/1 I can make a compelling case for either. Yet there are others too in a tricky race but these come out well on the value front maybe just favouring ELKSTONE right now.
LINGFIELD – At Lingfield it looks like it could well be worth backing the first 3 favourites in a multiple bet none are much value on their own but together it could be well worth a play GALROS LADY 7/4, PHOBIAPHILIAC 6/5 & PEGGIES VENTURE 4/5 All have very strong claims.
3:00 AUTHORIZED TOO 11/4 is the one I would want here we give the horse a price of 2/1 so there is some value in backing him today.
NEWCASTLE 5:45 MAGIC CITY 7/1 with Will Hill is the one for us here we flagged this horse up last race where it left its previous form behind. Should go very close today and is our NAP. Trained to gain a win right now and on what we saw yesterday is drawn on the right bit of the track. Green Howard was in front of him last time but a slight weight pull and the fact Green Howard is drawn in 2 must be a negative.
Back Next Tuesday.