This week I’m going to show you a simple trick of beating the SP. It doesn’t always work but with a bit of practice and using your own judgement you’ll be in with a chance.
You’ll often hear me talk about my “tissue” prices. These are basically the prices I have worked out for each horse. When building my tissue I try to get the price as close as I can to what the SP will be. It’s no easy feat but the way I started out was to cheat! The night before racing it’s possible to look at another experts “tissue.” Either by subscribing to the Racing Post or free through some of the other racing sites, such as Sporting Life or At The Races. I used to use as many as I could. Racing Post, Sporting life, At The Races and Timeform. By looking at the average prices given by each of the tissues or better known as betting forecasts, you can get a rough idea of what prices will be live when it comes to the bookies putting theirs up.
So we need to carry on with form study, system selections etc, whatever way you go about finding your selections but then go to these various sites and look for the average of all the prices. A lot of races now, especially the handicaps are available to bet the night before which is good because the longer a market is open the more accurate it can become. I would find my selection, its average price and when looking at the market basically look for anything that’s bigger. Especially on favourites, you’ll often find the bookie goes a little bigger than the tissue price. Remember he’s betting on every race throughout the day so to attract as much money as he can he needs to be offering value. In the long run they’ll make money based on their turnover. We however don’t have to bet in every race so when we can get a bigger price than the SP then we’re going to turn a profit ourselves.
Give it a go. You’ll be surprised at the small increase in profit you could be making by thinking a little more about the price 😉