You’ll notice by the title that I’m obviously a little peeved at the moment. This is also a warning that despite being a pro punter for nearly five years now, I still make mistakes! This morning’s mistake was a costly one though and I thought I’d write about it to highlight the dangers of deviating from a plan.
I sit down at my desk at between 0700 and 0730 every morning with a good idea of what is looking good for a bet etc from the study the night before. I have a database that becomes available the night before at around 4pm everyday highlighting horses that fit a profile I know to be profitable to follow in the long run. I have over 12 systems within my portfolio and when one is down the others are up etc. Anyway last night a qualifier had come through regarding a horse that is trained by Roger Charlton. Now this particular system is performing exceptionally well at the moment and not only that it was highlighted in 4 other systems. It’s what you’d call a Nap! I was so keen on it that at 8 am I’d written about it and Napped it up on my daily blog called Confessions Of Pro Gambler which you can read here.
So what went wrong I hear you ask, it’s an absolute no brainer surely? Well you’d think wouldn’t you! I’d managed to get a message out to a few of my people that place bets for me or better known as runners to get a rather large sum down on this particular horse also known as Stars Above Me. I’d also put a sum into the exchanges to get matched at between 2.8 and 2.5 which subsequently got matched. I’d priced the 2 year old filly up as an even money shot you see so the value was massive.
THEN THE PHONE RANG. Now I can’t reveal the identity of the caller but suffice to say they are extremely shrewd when it comes to information within the industry. They’d decided to share with me that Almuheet was really fancied by the Stoute yard and I’d taken a note to have a more thorough look at the horse. Its last run inspired confidence and the guy that had rang me had given me some really good winners over the last week so I’d decided to dutch my bet and get stuck in and have a bet on it.
The result just 10 mins before the race was that if Almuheet had won I would be up by just over 7 points but if my original strong selection of Stars Above Me was going to win I’d be just 0.50 points in profit. I sat down to watch the race in my office with a cup of tea hopeful of a good start to the afternoon. Here’s the result;
Of course now the title of this article will mean a little more. If I’d ignored the phone and stuck to my guns I would have made well over 14 points profit. Instead I made 0.5 points. The morale of the story? Never change your mind once you’ve made your selection. Unless it’s ground conditions or a jockey change then just don’t do it!
If you like what I write then you can follow me everyday over at Confession Of A Pro Gambler where I tell you how I’m getting on, a few systems and strategies and more interestingly two free tips a day. We’re doing quite well at the moment as well 😉
I’ll be back next week with more stories, tips and advice from one of WIN’s most successful tipsters 😉