October Finally “Blows” over.
Monday 28th. Sundays Diary went down very well again and thank you for all your positive comments.
Obviously it would of been very nice to put up 2 winners in my FREE bet column yesterday, but we did manage 1 with the help of the very easy winner ELY BROWN who bolted up by 10 lengths at 2/1 and was never in any danger. Although MIDNIGHT OSCAR was brought down in what ended up being a race of carnage with only 7 finishes, but the FREE bets did still make us a Sunday profit.
Today all the racing is cancelled in the UK and the best vibes are coming out of Ireland in the form of BEHEMOTH.
The weather warnings are horrendous with the fears of 100mph winds hitting our coastlines, probably all the tinned food stuffs, bread and milk has already sold out, but only Michael Fish really knows what is really happening, doesn’t he??
BEHEMOTH moves up menacingly but fades away rather tamely like the storms and is beaten by a horse we all need to note for the future (Racing Pulse).
The so called “super” storm passes with a huff and a puff and the Tesco’s shares have risen thanks to the panic buying and all is quiet once again.
Tuesday 29th. We have a big weekends racing to look forward to with some fantastic jumping and also a 2 day meet at Newmarket, which I shall be at and also Huntingdon on Sunday, where I am touching base with my very good friend and jumps contact Steve, hopefully he is attempting to convince this temperamental and allegedly gorgeous, looking Swedish bird, sorry lady, I keep hearing about for my paddock inspection.
Today we have Great Yarmouth on our racing radars, with a couple of tricky maidens and impossible looking handicaps, in soft/heavy conditions which is far from ideal and with Catterick and Ffos Las both heavy going, we may be struggling today.
Luckily I get a call and I am told that the Mark Johnson stable really fancies DAWN CALLING today at Wolverhampton and after comparing it with my figures and tissue I think the bookies are taking a huge chance pricing this up at 13/2 as this looks a cracking price ew for a horse with no miles on the clock and seems to have the potential for loads of improvement. I/we snap up the 13/2 with Corals for decent money/points ew.
It’s a typical end of season dreary day at Great Yarmouth with basically only the die hards in attendance as the holiday makers have either flown for cover or crept home after their annual pilgrimage.
We see a very nice William Haggis winner (Bilimbi) of the first who still holds a lofty Derby entry, but couldn’t of won any easier and an ok Marko Botti winner of the 2nd. The rest of the card passes without incident, until I spot the BETOWEN boys smashing MARTION, which I understand he has given to his BETFAN clients and this wins at a very nice 7/2.
The last race makes sure the greedy 1s leave with their Xs and more as a 28/1 outsider of the field wins, who previously was a 15 race maiden. I can remember when the last race used to be a get out stakes, but the powers to be (bookmakers) have insured more times then not it’s an impossible handicap nowadays.
Yarmouth will now batten down the hatches until next April unless the powers to be (ARC) decide to follow the Folkestone and Hereford route and sell more of the company silver for housing in the close season.
On this very day last year, I remember after racing we headed into the, what we thought would be a quiet Yarmouth, for a end of season drink and it was far from that. Ken, Fish and myself descended on the Pub on the Prom for what we thought would be a “quiet” drink and well he we go!!!!!!!!!!!!!
A very prominent director of Norwich City football club was in attendance, with a stunner on his arm, I used to place his horses so we go back a while and get on very well, the twinkle in his eye told me this was not going to be just a normal end of season drink, and it wasn’t.
DAWN CALLING is smashed up in the betting from our advised 13/2 into 7/2 and ultimately gets no luck in running and finishes unluckily out of the frame after being squeezed on the rails twice.
This still doesn’t put the dampers on our evening as we head towards the lovely Orthello restaurant.
Michael “the owner” is always very accommodating and greets us with his biggest and still kicking lobsters, which we all order and hope the Norwich City shares are still high. The meal is up to its usual high standard and luckily the Norwich City expense account is put to good use.
We head towards the club Bare, the name is a dead giveaway, there’s poles and everything in there (it’s not a scaffolding company for you cleaner living types) and we settle down in the comfy chairs and drink our bubbly and gaze at the nimble young lady scaling the heights of the pole. We are quite settled until we are informed that a taxi is waiting outside for us and we are all invited. 2 hours later we are walking into Peppermint Rhinos at Heathrow and trust me this is worlds apart from “Bare” in Great Yarmouth.
Although I would love to go into detail I dare not as this column doesn’t have an 18 certificate.
6am and another taxi journey later we are in Newmarket watching our hosts horses pound the gallops and then onto Trowse nr Norwich to watch the Norwich City players train. By now, I must admit I wasn’t in the front of the queue for a jog.
Whilst we are watching the players strut their stuff I get a call telling me we must back Mr Haggis’s CROP REPORT ridden by Ryan Moore at Newmarket. Me and my big mouth, we are winging our way to Newmarket to do the business, feeling like crap by now. We punt CROP REPORT who scoots in by an easy 5 lengths and all of a sudden I can see this going tits up again, so for once my 1 remaining brain cell kicks in tells me to get home and quickly, which I thankfully do.
Wednesday 30th. After 2 losing days I decide to play it safe and put up COQUET HEAD at 125/1 (lol), ew I hasten to add, as it’s point to point form suggests this is a too bigger price. As I say in my daily tips column the Jamie Osborne Fav is very beatable (a lay) so I make calls to find out the most likely winning candidate. I am able to narrow it down to two, AMBRIAS FURY and RURAL AFFAIR. Forgiving the former his last 2 AW runs I side with him with the added assistance of King Keiren in the saddle.
Also I think LE CHAT D’OR is a decent price at 7/1, because the fast pace which the very short priced Fav will set for him to chase and the soft conditions will be ideal and he looks a knocking ew selection.
I mentioned in my weekend column that we have a big bet this week and I have just got confirmation that he runs at Lingfield tomorrow, so I prime Smudger and Chatterbox that tomorrow’s fill our boots time.
Fridays cards at Newmarket look very competitive, but I do start work on them.
We do nick a place but ultimately we have a small losing day.
Thursday 31st. The MAXIMUM is in the 2-20 at Lingfield, HORSTED KEYNES, unfortunately the field lacks any strength in dept and we are looking at a short price. At the time of my client e-mail the best I can see is 5/4 and I advise that this is taken because this is going to be an odds on shot and is going to progress on to the championship races on the AW in the winter.
Charlie Longsdon was aggrieved that he couldn’t get an easy win out of HAYJACK last time over hurdles when we backed him and he was misfortunate enough to be brought down at the 1st, although this was a harder race over fences today it was also very winnable so at 7/2 we needed to back him and take the price.
David Simcock has recently acquired the Doctor owned MODERNISM and has brought him back in trip, which looks a better option and also he is well in on his old form, so with just a little improvement for the stable change and it should be enough to make this 11/2 shot very competitive and a very decent ew bet.
Also we pop in the old boy MONSIEUR CHEVALIER at 10/1 on the back of a good run at in a hot York handicap last time, after missing the break and also getting hampered and still finishing a creditable 6th.
We are going to Newmarket tomorrow and I suspect that the going is going to be pretty soft and with a couple of maidens and the odd end of season handicap chucked in, I don’t predict winners coming out of our ears.
When booked at the very least for a place our 1st bet HAYJACK falls at the last and I hope this is not a sign of things to come.
Andrea rides a cracking race to get our MAXIMUM bet home on HORSTED KEYNES and ultimately wins quite nicely and as I said earlier this will go onto better things.
David Simcock has worked the oracle with MODERNISM, as we predicted and he wins the next for us under a very cool and calculated ride from Jim Crowley and all of a sudden we have banged in two winners 5/4 and 11/2 on the day with a 10/1 shot running later at Kempton.
Poor old MONSIEUR CHEVALIER flatters to deceive at one point but doesn’t trouble the scorers.
I hope you all did the ew lucky 15 as I suggested, with 5/4 and 11/2 winners this also netted us a very nice profit.
But in all a very nice winning day and we have netted a very nice profit of 27ish points on the last day of the month. So we didn’t quite escape but we had a really good go at it and ended up hitting an incredible 33% winners.
Roll on November. If anything like last year we will make shit loads.
Friday 1st Nov. As I mentioned last night I just hope this November treats us as the last one did because we absolutely cleaned up and were banging in the winners for fun.
Newmarket is an early start today so I have to leave about 11am. I think Newmarket looks as if its going to be just a watching brief today and no bets.
The point to point team are jumping all over CARRAIG MOR today and I am told it has been schooling brilliantly under Choc at home. 15/8 is a super price and we hoover this up.
Also we think that our old point to point adversary FOREST WALKER, who won 3 times for us last year in Hunter chases, will turn over the short priced fav and 5/2 is also a good price as this is going to get punted, so we also take it.
Finally a short priced SPEED DEMON is allegedly a Cheltenham horse waiting to happen and we get 11/10 on this.
Newmarket is pretty quiet today and kicks of with a couple of maidens and I don’t think we have seen anything outstanding in either of them. I think the standout horse of the day is the William Haggis trained TWEED, to me this looks a November handicap or Ebor horse in the making next year.
CARRAIG MOR puts in a stunning round of jumping and the result is never in doubt and we are off to a fantastic start. FOREST WALKER also jumps for fun and runs the fav raggered with a superb jumping display and we are flying.
SPEED DEMON bitterly disappoints being a well backed odds on 3rd.
November has started as wonderfully as last year and we have a super winning day.
Also I am told by a Newmarket trainer that we have a big bet, possibly a MAXIMUM coming next week.
Saturday 2nd. Bellie Boys November has started with a bang and we are third on the BETFAN top 10 table.
An even earlier start at Newmarket today and we are having another MAXIMUM 10pt bet in the 2-55 NABUCCO, I have been told that this is well up to winning this listed race and the 11/10 needs taking as this is going to be backed into odds on.
Ascot is the venue for our second bet as Charlie Longdons UP TO SOMETHING seems as if it has got in lightly after its easy win last time and finally we need to back MENDIP EXPRESS to turn over the short priced McCoy mount at Wetherby.
The Owners and trainers bar at Newmarket is virtually empty which is handy because I can discuss and sort our big bet in private for next week.
MENDIP EXPRESS is 1st up and bolts up by an eased 12 lengths and we have hit the ground running again today. Jumping the last I think we have our 2nd winner in the bag as UP TO SOMETHING looks home and hosed until he spots the exit gate and veers towards it and throws the race away beaten a neck into 2nd.
I make my way to the pre parade ring and our Maximum bet NABUCCO looks stunning, although I have got Chatterbox and Smudger to back this for me at 11/10, I decide to walk the rails to fill my boots. The best I can find is Evens with my old sparring partner John Christie (probably the best rails bookmaker left) so I have another monkey (500) on it.
No room, blocked in and NABUCCO still wins by a neck and we have landed another MAXIMUM bet (90% strike rate on maxs).
2nd of November is much the same as the 1st and we have secured another great WINNING day.
Sunday 3rd. Wow, lucky old Penny, bet she had an exciting night, the Don is sooooo excited about the Breeders Cup, give me a milkshake (how they illegally clean the horses system) and stick a needle full of “go faster stuff” up my arse and I can beat the poor old English, somehow that just doesn’t seem to be cricket, does it boys and girls????
With another good winning day yesterday it has put us in the heady heights of 2nd in the BETFAN top 10 table.
I am heading to Huntingdon in about 1 hour with what I think is a winner waiting to happen and hoping this sexy Swedish bird is on Hunter Chase Steve’s arm so I can see whether she is a member of green welly brigade hunter chase type or as sexy as he says.
All you people sitting on the fence get your subscription’s going and join ME and lets all screw some Christmas monies out of the greedy 1s.
Don’t forget we have a very big bet coming next week and the Hunter Chasers will soon be upon us (and lots and lots of green folding stuff heading our way).
Today’s free tip is “don’t eat yellow snow”
Big week next week so members be on your toes.
Keep smiling, until next Sunday
Andy Bell
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