Lull After The 117 point Storm
Monday 30th. Yesterday we just had a sneaky ew bet to nothing at 6-1 which finished a fast finishing 2nd, so a very small winning day, but as I said in Sundays column it was very difficult to conjuror the enthusiasm after the fantastic racing coupled with a great winning Cambridgeshire meeting.
However we must now refocus and concentrate on some very low class and ordinary racing for a while, which in my opinion is more difficult to bet and predict then the better class, as our 3 meeting’s showed today with average winning SPs at Bath nearly 12/1, Hamilton nearly 11/1 and Newton Abbott 15/2.
The latter part of the week looks more exciting and will give us something to get our teeth stuck into with Ascot holding a 2 day meet Friday and Saturday, also Newmarket Saturday and Huntingdon on Sunday.
Tuesday 1st. On my way back from Newmarket I get a real buzzy and confident call saying that the very shrewd John Mackie yard thinks that their easy last time 17 length winner SAINT THOMAS can lead all the way and follow up again, with the only danger being the relatively unexposed 4yo Irish import Wakandar.
As soon as I arrive home I put SAINT THOMAS up on BETFAN as a 5 point win at 13/8 and get part of mine on at 2.69 and the rest at 13/8. BRASSICK has only been with Evan Williams for 1 run but has never been unplaced, its a very tricky race but at 11/2 this is a good ew bet, so I put 3pts ew.
The information is spot on regarding SAINT THOMAS who does lead all the way at a very well backed 5/4 and we could of even had the forecast with the Irish import finishing a well beaten 2nd.
I don’t think there is a great deal to be learnt from watching the early races so believe it or not some grass cutting is in order before the mid week rain sets in and BRASSICK runs.
BRASSICK finishes a very fast finishing 2nd after getting snarled up against the rail at the last under a typical Paul Maloney hold up ride and we make a small profit, I think our very own Simon Holden may of backed this also as his huffing and puffing indicated and he was less then complimentary about Mr Maloney’s ride afterwards.
1st day of October and a 10ish point PROFIT, so I am well happy, LONG may it continue.
Wednesday 2nd. I am told that the up and coming James Tait stable really fancies and are backing their 3yo maiden BIN SINGSPIEL at Newcastle who is trying 2 miles for the 1st time. Having never been tried further then 12f and the fear of forecast rain, although I respect my informant and the stable immensely, as I say in my daily tips column have only 2pts win, but if you are able sit on your hands and wait “as I can” until race time all the better.
Yesterday I was told that Sir Michaels charge TOP TUG was running in the 8-10 at Kempton and was working with 90 rated horses and finishing bang upsides at the business end, this was trading at 9/4 this morning so this was my 2nd and final bet of the day.
Time on my hands, yes and all the grass is cut, I start work on the tomorrows card at Bangor because as long as the ground goes no worse then good to soft I know we have a big bet there and I need to back it up with some hard form.
Sitting on our hands is over and BIN SINGSPIEL is walking into the stalls on good ground so all bets that are not on ARE NOW at a fantastic price of 3/1 “Good things come to those who wait (Guinness), a UK advertising campaign for Guinness stout in the 1990s and 2000 (Surprise, surprise that’s the 1 I can remember) and the 3yo maiden is now NO longer a maiden and a good start to the day Oi Oi. TOP TUG is a huge horse and quite evidently a galloper, but needs to be galloping for about another half a mile before it will be winning again, saying that I think its rating is still good and I will advise Sir Michael (as if) to pop this over 12f at maybe the end of season Doncaster November handicap meeting.
Although TOP TUG bombed out in 2nd, BIN SINGSPIEL won very well and we still made a profit on the day to make it 2 outta 2 winning days for October.
Thursday 3rd. Hats of to Howie for his column yesterday as I think it was bang on and I totally agree with the views on the new Morning Line team, who I think are people who “should be seen” producing an early morning programme instead of the “old 1” which included ex jolly boy the very witty Fat Al who only now drinks 6 days a week, but is by far the best columnist in the racing post, never to have knowingly let a member of the fairer sex escape his charm and advances John Francome, who was the shrewdest tipster on the programme and although I wouldn’t want to sit beside him again on a train to York, Big Mac, who had constant disagreement’s with Jim McGarth (who probably never had his eyes open long enough to see it or him).
As for the Gurning mob thankfully that is the only thing in common with Big Mac as unfortunately even I can attract that when heading to the bar in my local after a winning day. (I hasten to add I am not a gurner).
Now come on columnists lets follow Howies lead and honestly comment on the new MORNING LINES individual tipping prowess (that’s what’s meant to happen surely) because lets face it without great personality’s, Nick Luck apart, they must have been chosen for that particular attribute ????????? Good stuff Howie.
Today has been very busy so far and I put up Chris Walls in the 5-10, MIDNIGHT RIDER which won this race last year and has been trained solely with this in mind again and at 6/1 with Corals we really must back it ew. Ancient Cross across the water and a Nap at Bangor in the last CLOUD BROOK.
“Oh dear” Simon Holden for such an opinionated man with such strong views what a lame attempt at the channel 4 Morning Line saga. I do understand that you are unable to put in print what you have said to me for the fear of incarceration but come on mate that was a tad lame and creepy.
Lets have another “Oh dear” shall we Ted Durcans attempt on MIDNIGHT RIDER to at least get us a place was also a tad lame and cost me/us dearly. I may as well of thrown my money and points in the water crossing the Irish sea because ANCIENT DAYS never looked like winning, but every Cloud has a Brook (clever hey) CLOUDY BROOK bolted in by a very easy 10 lengths to at least limit our days loses.
In all a small losing day, (if only Ted had got up the rail or been more positive I wouldn’t be writing this) unfortunately our 1st one this week but overall we are still in profit.
Ascot tomorrow for me and I am meeting Simon Holden there, Don’t think I shall mention what a lame column he did today let him read about it Sunday hehehe.
Friday 4th. Well done yesterday BETOWEN on your 1st day with BETFAN kicking of with a easy winner.
I have given Ted Durcan a chance to redeem himself for yesterdays poor ride, although im not sure Chris Wall will be quite so forgiving and I put up FOOTSTEPSINTHERAIN at 7/1 ew in the 1st. Moon Trip at Hexham and BILLY NO NAME at Fontwell.
Keith “Catterbox” is picking me up at 11am to see if we can conquer the M11 then battle our way through the M25, better known as the public car park if we achieve these 2 tasks surely finding winners at Ascot will be a piece of cake.
Finally we arrive at Ascot but not without the odd scare or 10, I am not a nervous passenger or scared of speed but, well, trust me if I am ever rich enough to employ a chauffeur 1.01 it will NOT be “Chatterbox.” I think we had a piece of rope tying us to the centre rail as we never left it and I dare not mention the speed in case a boy in blue is reading this, trust me its was interesting.
I meet BETFANS Simon Holding (didn’t mention his column) and we have a beer or 3 during racing but nothing major (the Don was spotted creeping around as well) as we are meeting at Newmarket tomorrow, I will polish my shoes this week, promise Mr Bailey and thank you Mrs Bailey for being part of the plot and bringing the polish up later, and if I can convince him to stay over in Newmarket it could be a messy night in the town, with stories which i will tell, and then onto Huntingdon on Sunday.
We leave Ascot winnerless but as soon as they gave the true going after the 1st race as soft I realise why our FOOTSTEPSINTHERAIN never picked up. Its so wrong and unfair to all us punters, trainers, owners actually everybody apart from the bookmakers, that these clerks of the courses keep giving us incorrect going reports as in my opinion its probably the most vital part of the jigsaw.
lets hope the journey home is rather more sedate because we have fell of the Betfan table and I don’t wish to fall of the motorway as well.
Chatterbox Magoo floors the old BM from start to finish but has got me home safely and the only bit of luck I had today was I fell asleep on the way home so I missed most of Magoos dodgy, speedy driving apart from when I was awoken by sharp braking and the rapidly approaching rear doors of a Tesco lorry and thinking Oh shit I’m gonna be amongst those Tesco’s burgers in a minute.
No worries we have a big price 1 to bash ew at Ascot tomorrow, if anything like last Saturdays 15/1 winner we will be flying again. As Mr Holden was privy to my conversations on track today, I wonder weather he will sneak it into his service tomorrow, I will check and let you know Sunday.
Saturday 5th. Newmarket beckons today and as mentioned yesterday todays job is made slightly easier by the fact that we already have 1 to put up at Ascot, which I KNOW will love the going. With the going a major concern at Ascot I leave the rest of it to Pricewise as he seems pretty dam confident that ASCRIPTION under the guidance of “King Kieron” is a good thing and when I look its an absolutely crazy price of 4/1 from an early 7/1 ish.
All the racing and races there are today and I get 2 horses in the same 1, slightly off todays radar, Fontwell. I am told that CAULDFIELDS VENTURE (2-30) is expected to go very close indeed and the very next call is advising me that the father, son combination expects MOUNTAINEER to go very close and its going to be punted accordingly.
Because MOUNTAINEER is just an ew price of 4/1 and expected to win I think ew is a steal and I decide that surely its a bet to nothing, oppose to “Steve im in love again” Cauldfields Venture and I also put up MUSIC MASTER of Henry Candy’s in the 3-15 at Ascot ew at 9/1 as I was told yesterday the plan is to jump him out and attempt to make all (as I said in todays advises). With all my money’s placed firmly where my mouth is ew at 4s and 9s we leave for HQ to meet Simon.
Simon is indeed waiting at the gates (there is a reason) but is accompanied by, yes you’ve guessed The Don and heheheh I only have 1 extra badge (No free memberships if you write in guessing who got it).
SIMON AND I head towards the escalators which leads to the owners and trainers bar and I am surprised to see A P O Brien has made the journey across, very interesting lets dig I think.
We are told that OKLAHOMA CITY has been galloping at home with blinkers on and this has sorted his slightly wayward tendencies to drift right under pressure and is expected to WIN and then maybe on to the Racing post trophy at Doncaster and the unraced 2yo JOHANN STRAUSS maybe to green to do himself self justice.
Our old mate STEPS wins the 1st at Ascot, do you all remember we backed him at 10/1 ew at Doncaster when we were just chinned on the line.
OKLAHOMA CITY looks great in the paddock and with what I have been told here I pop round to the rails bookmakers and have a crack at him at 4/1 and stand on the line to watch. 2 furlongs out I am not convinced but as soon as he hits the rising ground his stamina kicks in and there’s only 1 winner. Great start to the day, Come on BETFAN TOWERS we are all waiting for this late “ON COURSE” information service to launch as what we hear and pick up here is invaluable and these few money making opportunities can’t be allowed to keep escaping untapped.
2-30 Fontwell and 3 out and I am thinking Phew I have made the right call as Nick “smiley” Schofield is pumping away in 5th and Jamie Moore has cruised menacingly into 3rd only for MOUNTAINEER to demolish the fence 2 old and never recovers and Smiley rides a jem of a race and wins bang on the line, a brilliant ride and the winded MOUNTAINEER has not quite had time to recover to nick us a place and is 4th. Beep beep lover boy is texting before Smileys victors tail is hardly over the line “hope you backed it” Mmmm the ups and downs of racing.
40 minutes until our final bet of the day at Ascot and some wine, no I’m not committing a cardinal sin drinking while gambling wine gums as some much needed sugar is required in the old grey matter.
Fergus Sweeney pops MUSIC MASTER out as per plan to run the finish out of the rest and is cruising 2 old and I know stamina is not a problem, but maybe he might just get tapped for toe as he has been running over 7f and as I said on my tips page the last furlong is when the cavalry will be approaching, we know our fate as Tropics looms up and wins like a very well handicapped horse but our plan has nearly worked as we are a clear second and make a small but its a profit.
Although we have been beaten into 2nd at 9/1 if we keep getting top class information like this we will continue to make profits.
Gambling finished and now we can replace wrappers with corks and I get a couple of nice bottles of wine (well the price suggests it is anyway).
Simon nowhere to be seen and 2 bottles of wine, I’m sitting over looking the paddock, life’s a bitch sometimes.
All good things come to an end as Simon and the Don both appear and join me at the table, with only 1 extra glass available no no don’t even think it as it can’t be done, so I do the gentlemanly thing and go to the bar to get an extra glass.
The TV screens in the Owners bar must still have valves in them they are so old and I am pretty sure its not snowing at Ascot and I think what a disgrace everything is top dollar in here and we are watching my Dads 1st ever TV.
3-35n and the second of the O Brien runners JOHANN STRAUSS is settled in last on the outside and JOGS into 4th and leads just past the post, I thought schooling in public was an offence. Watch this is if you can and form your own opinion, but firmly place this Racing post/Dewhurst entry in your notebooks as we will probably see a different horse/ride next time out.
If it had of been a trainer with a rather more chequed or colourful past shall we say all the dogs would of been baying for blood or a public flogging at the very least and I wonder if the stewards would of just NOTED the comments as in this case.
I ask Roger on the next table who is watching the screen through his bins (binoculars) how ASCRIPTION the nationwide gamble at Ascot is doing and a short and sharp reply is received “crap” so I shut up and think maybe Roger is 1 of the many pricewise followers.
I decline a night out in Newmarket as I have promised my elderly gentleman friend Mr Jolly a day out at Huntingdon races tomorrow.
Sunday 6th. I just wonder had I read the Dons poor attempt at being funny in his column yesterday, at my expense before I left for racing, weather I would of been so keen to share my wine with him and even go to the bar to get him a glass, Mmmm of course I would.
Picking up 79 years young Mr Jolly today and taking him racing at Huntingdon. He loves the game although he has to shoot around in a powered wheel chair now he comes with me as often as he can, I don’t think we have missed a Yarmouth meet this year and I even took him to the Ebor meeting. Mr Jolly played his part in my love for racing and gambling as from the age of 13 I used to hide from the school bus and he used to pick me up and I would accompany him to all the Yarmouth and Newmarket meetings, so now this is a form of a thank you and pay back.
Todays racing at Longchamp is fantastic and I have been many years, but tend not to bother too much now. On 1 of my early trips when I had what, at the time, was my brains on DAYJUR in the Prix de L’abbaye in 1990 and she bolted up leading all the way by 2 lengths and as we were staying in Paris that night we went out to celebrate. The Great Alfonze was part of the crew and we found a nice boozer just across the road from our hotel and with mixed feelings (ok then, at that time anti) about our garlic eating neighbours. We settled for a quiet drink, on our own. To our amazement the French chaps couldn’t be nice enough and we even started exchanging drinks and even attempting to chat until there was a commotion from down stairs (the toilets) and the VERY red faced Alfonze appeared at the top of them shouting “lets get out of here it’s a f*****g queers pub and ran out, we absolutely cracked up with laughter and in fairness so did the French, but when a bloody nosed Frenchman appeared at the top of the stairs, we thought we had better move on.
Free tip for today INTENSE PINK in the 4-40 will run better then a 66/1 ew shot on her loved soft ground.
Join up for the 10/1 BIG UN next week at HQ.