With less than a week to the start of the Cheltenham Festival all other sport pales into insignificance behind the greatest show on earth.
Owners, Trainers, Jockeys, bookies and punters gear themselves up for the equine Olympics hoping to profit by endeavour or by way of financial gain.
However before we all get carried away let me offer a little advice. There will be other decent betting opportunities away from the Festival as a 5/1 winner in a seller at Southwell pays exactly the same as a 5/1 winner at Cheltenham. Enjoy and savour the races and there is no need to bet on every event.
Most importantly with the weather forecast set to become drier don’t be fooled into backing all the horses that have been winning during our monsoon of a Winter but look for horses who will prefer the better ground.
I’m not saying the likes of Sire De Grugy and Hurricane Fly can’t win their respective races but at the current odds I might be prepared to lay them and look for something at more rewarding odds.
There are many ways of making money from betting and one method I have exploited this season is betting on football and finding a team who have difficulty scoring goals. The team I have been following is Brighton and nearly 90% of their games result in under 2.5 goals. You might prefer the other option and back say Man City or Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals per game. Either way it’s a ploy you should explore.
Another angle that is proving extremely profitable for me is place betting on Betfair with a smaller wager on the win market. If you stake say 5 points on the place and 1 point on the win and you know how to pick the right type of horse you can make a packet regardless if the selection wins or not. I have noticed one or two tipsters have tried something similar but all the know is to put up the first or second favourites.
I could actually be persuaded to run a service of this nature if Betfan make me an offer I cant refuse.
Well last week Howies Hottie was another non runner so let see if I can find one that makes the start. I’m going in the 4.00 Lingfield on the Julia Fielden trained filly Avidly.
She is a lightly raced maiden who Julia purchased off Khalid Abullah in France. The filly has been placed twice for her new connections but a look at her first run in France shows she finished 2nd to Comute who ran placed in a group race and she was infront of Ebiyza who was considered good enough to contest the Hong Kong Vase.
I’m not saying she is in that league and she must have had problems for her to be sold off cheaply but at decent odds she represents a bit of value against exposed handicappers.
Jack The Gent trainer G.Moore – Front running chaser who got mugged close home last time. He will prefer better ground and is just the type for the place betting I mentioned above in the right type of race.
Ishikawa trainer K.Burke – Front runner who led but was collared in the final furlong last time out. A return to a mile is the logical answer.
Verse Of Love trainer D.Evans – Front runner who never managed to lead last time yet still managed to run very well. One to keep an eye open for as he can pop up at a big price sooner or later.
Prisca trainer J.Osborne – Recent but from the Hannons the filly finished 3rd last week at Lingfield. Jamie is still learning about her and once he finds the key this could be another big priced winner.
Temple Road trainer M.Bradley – Awinner for the eyecatchers this week when romping home at Lingfield. The gelding is now in top form and can win again.
Parisian Pyramid trainer L.Carter – 2nd behind Temple Road this frustrating grey gelding has plummeted in the weights and should soon pick up a small race.
Edgware Road trainer P.Morgan – Has been been in the doldrums for ages but last time seemed to show more ability. He is on an attractive mark and can be competitive.
Back next Wednesday have a good week and be lucky.