Well the Open is over for another year, so what did we learn at Muirfield this year that can help us profit from betting on golf…
1 – Do not back Lee Westwood to win Major Championships, yes he is a very good player and comes over as a decent guy I know he is popular with the other players (which not all are) BUT when he leads in the Majors he goes to pieces, it’s happened too often now and each time it happens it makes it more likely it will happen again. Golf is a game of repeating patterns and even when he was 3 clear on the last day it was tragically predictable he would fall apart.
Over Forty time is running out and this may scar him, he looked a broken man at the end.
2 – Tiger Woods enjoys spitting, he can’t stop himself and he never seems to run out of spit. Next time you play golf which is a fairly gentle pastime see if you feel you need to spit constantly I bet the answer is no!
Any other player would be fined and censored for his swearing but the organisers are of course terrified of Woods so he will continue his sulky petulant antics as long as he feels like Godangit Tiger!
He also is no where near as good as he was particularly when the pressure is on in a Major as witnessed by his lame efforts on Sunday.
3 – Phil Mickelson by contrast is a class act and a deserved winner, after the agony of blowing the US Open he has bounced back to win the Scottish Open and now the Claret Jug and done it with style and smiled at people the whole time. Big Phil has customised his game to suit the Links style (take note young Rory) and may be about to enter a golden period in his career.
4 – Under pressure and when he gets his Ryder cup head on Ian Poulter is capable of extraordinary golf that few can live with. Sadly when not in that mode which is most of the time Poulter is starting to look like a very ordinary player. He left himself an impossible task after three poor rounds but he still nearly did it when he got the ryder cup head on.
5 – Rory Mcilroy is in big big trouble and as I put at the time will rue the day he left the club manufacturer that took him to World number one. Far too much far too young it would appear, he needs to go back to square one because the golf he served up last week is going to see him drop like a stone, that’s now four missed cuts in a row. The golf course doesn’t know who you are or what you’ve done and it looks like he has forgotten that.
6 – Lastly and most importantly we are in an era where this no dominant player so for each Tournament the bookmakers will have to price up differently instead of just thinking they will make Woods and Rory fave and any price the rest. We can take advantage of this confusion by using my ratings system which is updated on a weekly basis.
This week we have the Canadian Open and will play a theory that works well after a Major Championship.
Join us I look forward to seeing you on the fairways, no spitting though!
Back next Tuesday.
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