We had a great start to Ebor week when OUT DO won the big sprint the Gt St Wilfred at Ripon, backed from 12s to 7s. When I started out betting I used to avoid these big field sprint handicaps as I thought they were impossible to solve and very time consuming to study. Now they are one of my biggest sources of profit, recently we also had BLAINE winning the Hamilton Stewards Cup at 16s. I think the main reason for this is pace bias.
These big fields normally spilt into 2 sometimes 3 groups and if you can identify the group with most pace you now have a field of only 7 or 8 to choose from and with most bookies paying 5 places they offer fantastic betting value. There is an old saying ‘The bigger the field, the bigger the cetainty’ and I think there is some truth in that as these big fields are guaranteed a true run race where as small fields can be run at a crawl, horses not settling and end with a one furlong sprint to the line where anything can win.
This is one of my favourite weeks of the year & our annual trip to York for the Ebor Festival. The quality of racing & social life is second to none. Since the drainage work has been done the track it’s now a specialist course, some horses just don’t handle it, so before betting make sure it’s ran well there before. Evening at 2am you can get great info in York, last year myself and a leading jockey were asked to get off a certain nightclubs revolving dance floor, I had to bundle him into a taxi, he was riding a hot fav’ the next day, needless to say it didn’t win, a max lay!
I’ll be meeting up with two top of the country’s leading pro bettors Simon Holden & Andy Bell for a good chat & I believe will be recorded and shown this Friday on BetFan TV, don’t miss it!
Just three added to the hotlist last week: ORIENTAL SPLENDOUR, GRAND PROPOSAL, JODIES JEM
Tuesday Free tip FRUIT PASTILLE Brighton 4:15 current best price 5/2 with Paddy Power.
Back next Tuesday.
The Shrewd Tipster