North London Derby Day Draw
The north London derby has became a must win fixture for the home team in Tottenham who have lost their last two matches while Arsenal have won three on the bounce in the Premier League. If the visitors prevail they would be just one point adrift of their neighbours. Tottenham would also have Manchester United breathing down their neck with three points against Southampton at Old Trafford.
However, its worth bearing in mind that Arsenal have beaten Tottenham just once in 10 trips to the old White Hart Lane and Wembley. The dynamics of derbies are such that recent form often goes out of the window and the main objective is avoiding defeat. Losing to your biggest rivals can be damaging so we can expect a cautious approach which makes the DRAW the bet at 13/5 with Ladbrokes.
West Ham and Newcastle are in mid-table safety, relatively free from relegation issues and not good enough to break into the top six or qualify for Europe. In ‘dead rubbers’ like this there is often a low bookings count. Players are not totally committed so there is less aggression and conflict. It’s a speculative bet but NO BOOKING at 16/1 with Paddy Power looks interesting.
Its rare that Kelso stages the highest level race of the day but the novices’ hurdle at 3.15 at the track is a Grade 2 contest and there are only Grade 3 jumps races elsewhere. However, the race could have implications for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. The favourite at Kelso is Getaway Trump who was fourth behind Al Dancer in the Betfair Hurdle.
That horse is the favourite for the Festival opener and the form would be boosted if GETAWEAY TRUMP won impressively at the Borders track. The Paul Nicholls trained runner did not get the run of the race behind Al Dancer at Ascot and looks good value even at 8/11 with Ladbrokes. The outcome at Kelso will tell us how good Al Dancer could be and provide pointers for Cheltenham.