Welcome to a new feature here on BetKudos where we look at some of our services and how they’ve been fairing over the last week.
While we’re early into the month we have one service that is notably flying and the stats suggest this will carry on.
Lucky 7 Naps sits at the top of the table with a massive 82.50 points in the last four days. So let’s break this down.
Had you joined this Monday 1st December you would now be sitting on the following profit.
A £300 Starting bank = £82.50p
A £600 Starting bank = £165.00p
A £1,500 Starting bank = £412.50p
A £3,000 Starting bank = £825.00p
As you can see that is some healthy profit.
We need to take away our subscription costs of course which we have a GREAT deal for you to get involved in with this incredible service.
Costing just £61.20p (including VAT) even with a small bank you would be just over £20 up.
So how do we know that this service will continue to perform?
Something called an Archie score.
Let’s break this down –
Archie scores is a way of determining whether or not our selection method is likely to continue to do well based on probabilities. There are three calculations we need to do before calculating the eventual Archie score. Firstly the number of bets. That’s easy we just count them but let’s assume we’ve got 100. Secondly we need to count how many winners we’ve had. Again easy as we can just count these. Let’s say we’ve got 30 winners for a strike rate of 30%.
The third calculation requires a little more work as we need to find the expected amount of winners. This is done by finding the average prices of ALL our selections. We simply add all the odds together and divide them by the number of bets that we have. Now the example below is very simple and of course you wouldn’t get 100 3/1 shots but for the purposes of explaining this it will have to do!
Convert your odds into decimals (3 divided by 1 = 3 + 1 = 4) and then add them all up. In this case it’s of course 400. You then divide it by the number of bets. In this rather simple example it is of course 3/1 as the average odds. It will of course be different when doing a real example.
We then divide 1 by the average odds to arrive at a percentage. So in this case 1/4 = 0.25 multiplied by 100 = 25% or from a 100 bets we would expect 25 winners.
So we have a result set of the following:
Number of bets: 100
Number of winners: 30
Expected winners: 25
Now for the complicated bit:
Number of bets(100) x (Winners(30) – Expected Winners(25)) 2
Archie = ————————————————————————–
Expected Winners(25) x (Number Of Bets(100) – Expected Winners(25)
So we have 30 – 25 = 5 x 5 (squared) = 25 x 100 = 2,500
100 – 25 = 75 x 25 = 1,875
So 2,500 divided by 1,875 = 1.333333
Now in this example that’s not a very good Archie score as we need to be looking at over 5.00 for a selection process to continue in success. Of course over a larger sample set for example 1000 selections continuing to perform as well as the first 100 we would then get an Archie score of 13.33 which is very good.
So if you’ve got your head around that then Lucky 7 Naps has an Archie score of (drum roll please) …….. 143.11
Now that’s a great Archie score and it means that Lucky 7 Naps will continue to perform as well as it has been since it started since January.
Grab this service for a remarkable £51 for 90 days and be safe in the knowledge that you will make money.