After analysing a race, you have made your decision, you’ll back what you think will be the winner of a race, take any price, a winner is a winner.
DON’T! Each horse’s true chance in a race cannot be scientifically verified. But you should be more disciplined, calculate a price you are prepared to take and don’t take anything less. You always hear people talking about value, but to me there is no way of calculating value. Value is a matter of personal opinion. A crude method of calculating the odds you are prepared to take, is to list all the potential rivals to your selection in the race. If there are only two look for approximately 3/1, if there are six look for 8s. You will soon develop your own method and become good at forecast odds.
I think its been proven now over a lot of the main festivals and big Saturday meetings recently that on-course punters are getting cheated by the SPs
which are much lower than the best morning prices and with Best Odds Guaranteed offers it’s madness not too get on early.
Last week’s new entries to the hotlist:
LAURENCE, IMPORTANT MESSAGE, PLANE SONG, MAGIC CIRCLE, BRAVE LEADER, FORCE & MAKE IT UP
My Punt of The Day: 3:55 Sailsbury – Maybelater – Each Way Bet
Back next Tuesday.
The Shrewd Tipster