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Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott

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Can You Ignore Fulham at 40/1? 

Manchester City’s fourth round tie in the EFL Cup at home to Fulham is not being televised which means there is no meaningful live football action today. The trophy is fourth on Pep Guardiola’s wish list and team selection will be key. Both City and Fulham have other fish to fry and are being asked to play three matches in a week. Points in the Premier League are more important than winning the League Cup. 

Jose Mourinho liked to win the first trophy up for grabs but City don’t need a boost to their confidence and Fulham are in the bottom three. Its speculative but if City play the reserves and their opponents are at full strength you can’t turn down the chance to back FULHAM to win the tie in 90 minutes at 40/1 with Ladbrokes.   

American football in the NFL is not everybody’s cup of tea and if you support Tottenham the sport is just a pain in the neck. The pitch for their home Premier League match against City showed the vestiges and damage caused by the NFL fixture the day before. City scored the winning goal with a route one move on the damaged Wembley turf that still had the markings from the previous day.  

On the face of it American football is played by over-padded lumps with more advert breaks than action. In fact, it’s a sport played by over-padded lumps with more advert breaks than action but that doesn’t mean you can’t win money. Efficiency is the key and that is quantified by yards gained from each play. The figures for tonight’s Oakland at San Francisco meeting suggest OAKLAND +3 is the bet at 20/21 with William Hill. In eight weeks both teams have recorded just one win. 

The Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby on Saturday will see the return of Thistlecrack to the track. On best hurdle form the horse should be odds-on but so much has happened since those halcyon days. Enable is the banker in the Breeders’ Cup but a poor draw has seen the horse drift in the betting. It would be a pleasure to see two wonderful horses win races that are like chalk and cheese. The DOUBLE at best odds pays over 7/2 with Coral. 

Before the riches of the weekend there is a decent All-Weather fixture at Lingfield today featuring two listed class 1 races. The 2.35 is a Fast-Track Qualifier for finals day next April. MOVE SWIFTLY ticks most of the boxes and is the selection at 11/8 with Paddy Power.

Tuesday’s Horses In Focus – By Unity Racing Investments

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Well members at Unity have another winning month. That’s 3 big ones in a row! 

The last week has seen a few nice winners. 

Winter is most definitely here the weather has changed the clocks have gone back and we settle down to a really exciting jump season. I’m going to put out 2 more horses to follow next week so watch out for that! 

I love the jump’s and I think this year might just be very special. We have taken on some new information from some top jumps yards and some that are lesser known. Smaller yards have winners at much better value as the markets tend to devalue the horses they run. Whatever happens we are as ever determined to bring our members a 4th and 5th year of continuous profits. 

Today’s free bet is Catterick 12-55 Handicap (Class 6) 5f Campion 28/1 with Paddy Power showed plenty of early pace last time at Newcastle a track that seems to work out better for horses coming off the pace. Catterick very much favours horses near the pace so I can see a much better performance from him. Ground should be fine too and dropping in trip also looks ideal. 

Bets for our main service will be out around 11.30 am today so there is plenty of time to get involved.

CLICK HERE – 12 Month Membership Only £96.00!

Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott

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Wales Look Too Good For Any Denmark Eleven

Futsal is to football what Twenty20 is to Test match cricket. Fundamentally it’s the same sport but the two versions are like chalk and cheese. A dispute between the Danish FA and the players meant the squad for the home match against Wales could be made up of futsal players. In that case Wales would be massive odds-on to win the match so betting on the Nations League fixture is fraught with danger. Even if the dispute is resolved and Denmark play the first string there could be vestiges of grievance which makes WALES the bet to win the match at 14/5 with Coral.

After completing his career Grand Slam in the 2016 French Open Novak Djokovic suffered a dip in form. He had achieved the ultimate career objective so motivation became an issue in this unforgiving sport. The Serb won the Wimbledon championships this summer and can add to his tally of major titles in the final of the US Open. Juan Martin Del Potro has had his injury breaks and deserves a second US Open but DJOKOVIC has the hunger and must be backed at 4/9 with Paddy Power.

The quality of the racing at York is always a cut above what takes place at most other courses. Their meeting today is lucrative compared to the majority of other Sunday fixtures around the tracks. The best horse on the card on ratings is Limato and that status can be confirmed with a win in the listed race at 2.55 but the odds are short. At a working man’s price INTERNATIONAL MAN is the each way tip in the handicap over one mile two and a half furlongs (2.20) and the best odds are 20/1 with bet365.

This Weeks Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott

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Two Huge Champions League Fixtures And Punchestown

In a massive week for sports betting the highlight is the semi-final first legs in the Champions Leagues that bring together some of the biggest clubs from England, Italy, Germany and Spain. It’s no coincidence that the richest and most prestigious leagues in Europe are represented in the last four of the most lucrative domestic competition in the world.

Liverpool at home to Roma and Bayern Munich at home to Real Madrid would take a lead without conceding into the second matches next week. Tonight Everton host Newcastle in a meaningless match but its worth bearing in mind that eight of Newcastle’s last 12 away matches have produced at least three goals. With nothing to play for OVER 2.5 GOALS is the bet at 5/4 with Betfair.

The Punchestown Festival in Ireland is the equivalent of Cheltenham in Britain. It’s a five-day betting bonanzas of Grade 1 races that features the best horses trained in the country. The action should be competitive but there is now a duopoly. Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins dominate jumps racing across the Irish Sea. They have the backing of wealthy owners who invest in the best horses who win the top races.

The subplot of Punchestown is the trainer’s championship in which Elliott has a decent lead. However, MULLINS is a past master of getting his horse fit when it matters most and should be backed at 5/4 with William Hill to be the top dog in Ireland. SON OF REST is the banker bet at the today’s Flat meeting at Navan (6.00) and on offer at 4/1 with Ladbrokes.

So there is plenty of racing and football betting action this week and the usual tournaments in tennis and golf. For those of you who enjoy a marathon more than a sprint the 17-day World Snooker Championship trundles on all week at the Crucible Theatre in Sheffield. Mark Selby was knocked out in the first round which makes the task on the best player in the tournament easier. RONNIE O’SULLIVAN cannot be opposed to win a sixth world title at 6/4 with Paddy Power.

Declan O’Donoghue

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One of the best ante post betting opportunities every year is the “To win any race at the Cheltenham Festival” market.

So far Paddy Power, William Hill and SkyBET are the only majors to have dipped their toes in the water, but no doubt most of the remainder will be following in the weeks ahead.

William Hill have already been stung with support for Black Hercules, though they are still best priced, by some way, at 14/1.

He runs this weekend so we’ll know more quite shortly, but it’s easy to see his appeal as he seems a tough and very versatile sort.

Certainly he would have plenty of options, and were the wheels to come off this week he could finish up in one of the handicaps – remember Wicklow Brave did something similar last year.

One eye catcher for me is Long Dog who is chalked up at 12/1 by Paddy Power.

Sizing John really could be anything, and “tens” with Paddy Power and William Hill is not be sniffed at.

It’s an important market as trainers – or owners – can change their minds so often.

Perhaps the most obvious case – though not perhaps widely known – was Hardy Eustace.

On the first of his Champion Hurdle years, connections crossed the Irish Sea with the intention of running in the Coral Cup!

In fairness to the late and greatly missed Dessie Hughes, a gentleman to his fingertips, any time the horse won that season on the home circuit he did mention the possibility of a Champion Hurdle tilt.

“He could be good enough for it you know, and might just go for it.”

“He’s a real two and a half miler and that’s what you need for that race” mused the man who had booted Monksfield home in his second time winning the Champion.

It’s history now of course that Hardy did indeed run in the Champion in 2004.

Given a great front running ride by Conor O’Dwyer he scored at 33/1 from defending champ Rooster Booster.

He repeated the dose a year later winning that epic finish with Harchibald.

Incidentally the much under rated O’Dwyer has a remarkable Cheltenham record.

He won four times at the Festival – the Champion Hurdle twice with Hardy Eustace and the Gold Cup twice Imperial Call (1996) and War Of Attrition (2006).

I haven’t seen Monksland priced yet for that win any race at the Festival market.

He has certainly made an excellent start over fences, but should the Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott teams dominate in the novice chase department, he could always be switched back to hurdles.

The Ladbrokes World seems unlikely though as he never landed a blow last season and didn’t seem to get the trip anyway.

Coneygree was a great Gold Cup winner last year – when, relevant to what we were talking about earlier, it was a late call to run him in that too – a lovely family triumph and a wonderful and heart warming display.

Not sure I’m mad about the vibes about him this season though.

The latest we heard is that he may now go for the Lexus, as it seems an easier option than the King George.

Well it might well prove to be that indeed, though it’ll be no penalty kick either with Road To Riches, Carlingford Lough and Don Poli likely rivals.

But either way looking for the easier route is not exactly a ringing vote of confidence behind the defending Gold Cup champ.

Hopefully the whole Gold Cup picture will be a lot clearer after the Christmas jousting and indeed Smad Place is now in the mix too.

Don Cossack certainly commands respect and while Vautour should get the three miles at Kempton, though going further again at the Cotswolds is an unknown factor.

That said, many thought Kicking King and War Of Attrition wouldn’t get the Gold Cup trip yet they did – and how!

In fact War Of Attrition had to hold off the previous year’s Aintree Grand National hero Hedgehunter and in the end he did so with plenty to spare.

Back next Saturday.

Declan O’Donoghue

Irish Racing Club

http://hop.betkudos.com/1000/view/59

Betting Opportunity Eye-Catchers

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I have to say the highlight of the weeks racing for me was seeing the return to form of Sprinter Sacre. He put in a super round of jumping and powered away from a high class field up the Cheltenham hill.

I never had a penny on him but to see such a high class horse return to his best form gave me as much of a thrill as backing a winner. One has to say it was a brilliant bit of training by Nicky Henderson as this horse has had so many problems over the last year.

Now I was lucky to see the greatest chaser of all time run in Arkle and in my opinion at his very best Sprinter would have given him a close race. Mind you the Henderson horse is best at shorter trips and Arkle was best at three miles.

I can hear people saying what about Kauto Star, Denman, Best Mate etc,etc, yes they were all top class but there was only one Arkle and Sprinter has to be the best of this Century when firing on all cylinders.

We had three great days racing at the Paddy Power meeting but the midweek jumping is of a very mediocre standard. In fact tonights Kempton card puts todays jumping to shame with a top class listed event as the main feature.

It was good to land last weeks free tip with Chookie Royale but you won’t hear me shouting about 7/4 winners as I’m sure you could have found that one yourself if you studied the form.

For this weeks Howies Hottie I’m sticking with the Kempton polytrack in the 7.25 which is a good class staying handicap over 2 miles. The selection is Communicator from the Balding yard with the excellent Oisin Murphy taking the ride.

The gelding ran a good race in the Cesarewitch but I feel this slightly shorter trip will suit him better. He is drawn in the car park however it shouldn’t be a problem as he is a hold up performer and I expect Oisin to drop him in and try to make his move in the long home straight. One thing for sure win or lose he should be a decent each way price.

EYE-CATCHERS

SYNTHETIC SURFACES

Lord Reason trainer J.Ryan – Noted running on over a mile and worth a try over further.

Philba trainer M.Appleby – He was placed last time when sticking to the inside rail which might have been slower ground on the day.

Dont Be trainer Sir M.Prescott – She could never get a clear run at Lingfield after being held up at the back and finished full of running.

Mr Rock trainer G.Baker – This one is owned by Sir Alex Ferguson and when running at Wolverhampton he ran with the choke out and ran out of petrol. He is a lot better than that and must be given another chance.

JUMPERS

The Romford Pele trainer Rebecca Curtis – The gelding is named after Ray Parlour the ex Arsenal player and he was noted staying on strongly at Cheltenham last week. If he brushes up his jumping he could be one for either the Welsh or Aintree Grand Nationals.

Next Sensation trainer M.Scudamore – Jumped like a stag at Cheltenham but a return to the minimum trip would help his cause.

Renneti trainer W.Mullins – He ran on strongly last week at the Paddy Power meeting and is worth a try at a longer trip.

Back next Wednesday have a good week and be lucky.

Howard Davis-Shaw.

 

http://go.betfan.com/1000/317

 

Unity Racing Club

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Hello and welcome to another Newsletter from Unity Racing Club.

September has not really begun to fire yet as we enter the 2nd half of the month. We have been up and down like a yoyo. That said we have done little damage to our account and we remain in pretty healthy shape overall.

Todays horses that should be noted include good old Doctor Parkes who drops down to a class 4 event after spending most of the year running in class 2 and 3 events. Connections have done this plenty of times before. We have been on several of them to see the horse just isn’t quite good enough for class 2 and 3 events, yet once the mark drops they like to put him back into class 4 handicaps and he runs much better and usually at bigger prices too. He is 20/1 with paddy power and I wouldn’t put anyone off a small flutter to each way stakes despite a nonrunner that has left only 7 going to post.

All this changeable weather definitely makes it hard to be accurate with selections but for our free bet I am going to go with a horse we backed last run. The money was down that day yet despite running well he couldn’t quite get on terms.

Our free bet today is…

3:40 Chepstow MYBOYALFIE 11/1 Paddy Power 1 point each way.

Back next Tuesday.

Matt – Unit Racing Club

http://go.betfan.com/1000/310

Get Massive Odds With This Simple Trick

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This week I will be going through a day’s trading that I did yesterday and using techniques similar to that in my product Bet500.

First up then I need to find which bookies are offering money back offers on certain races today. I always start with Bet365 and PaddyPower as they offer some of the best ones.

Yesterday saw Bet365 offering a free bet if you back a winner at odds of over 4/1 or more in the 16:30 and the 17:00 at Ayr. Paddy Power were offering money back if your horse finishes second or third in the 17:00 at Ayr. This is excellent as I can now use both bookies to get a trading advantage.

You’ll see in the screen shot below that I placed a bet for £50 on Saxonette who I fancied to run well with Bet365 at odds of 5.00 (or 4/1). This now qualifies me should Saxonette win the race to a free bet of £50.

 

Screen Shot 2014-08-11 at 11.15.06

I now head over to Betfair to look to lay this off for a small loss. By clicking on the little chart next to the horses name I’m able to see how much money is being traded and can see what I want to lay off at.

In the image below you can see that there’s not a lot of money waiting to be matched on Saxonette so I will be placing an order at 5.30.

Screen Shot 2014-08-11 at 11.38.51

I now have to wait for this to be matched. Of course I also need to work out how much has to be staked in order to minimise my losses.

In the image below you will see the calculator that you get when you purchase the Bet500 system. I have filled in the relevant boxes and it tells me how much I need to lay off in order to protect my initial stake.

Screen Shot 2014-08-11 at 13.56.15

You can see that we need to lay a stake of £47.62p at odds of 5.30 to secure us a small loss of £4.76p on the horse either way.

If Saxonette wins we lose £204.77 in our Betfair account but make a profit of £200 in our Bet365 account. If Saxonette loses the race then we lose our £50 stake with Bet365 but return £45.24 in our Betfair account.

Either way we will lose £4.77p on the race. But if Saxonette does win the race then we now have a free bet waiting for us on the next special race with Bet365.

So how does this all work. I won’t show you the extra trade with Paddy Power this week as I’ll allow you to get your heads around this trade first.

We’ve risked a total of £4.77p on the race. Now should we get the free bet (something else I will show you in the coming weeks) we can trade this out for around £40 every time.

Saxonette is a general 4/1 shot. If we had our total risk of £4.77p at 4/1 we would make a profit of £19.08p. This is the bookies price though and of course they always have the edge over what prices we can take.

Once we have completed this trade we have secured a price at just over 7/1. That is a massive advantage. We won’t win every trade but with those figures we are guaranteed a profit in the long run.

At 4/1 a horse will on average win 20% of the time. So if all our trades were on horses at 4/1 and we were getting 7/1 we would be getting paid out at 7/1 on 20 out of 100 bets which would mean a profit of around 60% on turnover – that’s amazing 😉

I’ll be back next week with how we can use more bookies to trade these type of bets and more techniques on how to make it all work.

In the mean time if you want one of my own trading strategies that is similar to the one above including the calculator you can grab a copy here –

 

Bet500 A cool way of getting money out of the bookies

 

See you next week

 

Eddie Lloyd

The Gambling Don

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The Knavesmire is upon us and all BetFans leading tipsters are coming out to play alongside the best horses and jockeys in the World for four brilliant days.

The spiv suited Mr Holden tells me the Knavesmire dries out quicker than any course bar at Cheltenham and for once he is right so I don’t think we should worry too much about the deluge of the past few days. At one point on Friday afternoon I half expected Noah to be working round Newmarket High Street.

Lets keep everything crossed for two things this week, first The Don is staying at a different Hotel to Andy Bell and his motley crew and second Gleneagles and Golden Horn both turn up for the Juddmonte on Wednesday and we get the race of the season.

They were obviously in order of importance there!

Very often in racing we see these matches mooted but very rarely do they take place so firstly a big well done to connections of BOTH horses if they both turn up. The Guineas winner versus the Derby winner over the median distance of 1 mile 2 is the ultimate talking point and challenge. The Don is clearly swimming against the tide and the betting in thinking Gleneagles is the likely winner.

What shocks the Don is as I write we can get 7/2!! on Gleneagles which strikes me as the bet of the century. We will come to Golden Horn but first lets remember Gleneagles is a beautifully bred multiple Group 1 winner who they seriously thought about running in the Derby.

Coolmore make very few mistakes in top races and the clowns who think Gleneagles won’t stay are forgetting they are not prepared to risk its stud value lightly. The horse stays on breeding on what I’m hearing.

Now Golden Horn is 8/11 with Paddy Power and seems to be popular at odds on and he certainly has done nothing wrong. But is he a great horse or the best of a pretty ordinary bunch of middle distance horses. I don’t think much to the Derby this year and I think the Guineas here and in Ireland ran like better races. For that reason I’m backing Gleneagles heavy to be simply too fast for Golden Horn and the rest!!! Now please, please both turn up!

I’m playing heavy and often all week so if you are not in my private service then join now in time for Wednesday. Tipsters come and go but I’m the go to tipster for big events and this is a huge week. I would trust me over the keyboard warriors anyway but that’s my opinion and opinions are like noses, everybody has got one.

I’m taking in Southwell’s big jumps day of the year today on my way up and the atmosphere will be terrific and it’s a great Summer Jumps card. In the 5.05 I expect Frenchseventyfive to pay for my day and 7/4 is a fair price.

So it’s decision time…

Get me onside this week and bet with me for 4 terrific days of big priced punting, favourite backing here only lines the pockets of the bookmakers so don’t do it!

So get with The Don he is BetFans undisputed number 1

Back next Sunday.

The Gambling Don

 

http://go.betfan.com/1000/119

Trading Profits At Royal Ascot

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Today sees the start of the Royal Ascot meeting and bookies are falling over themselves trying to get you to bet with them.

Paddy Power are offering new and existing customers a free bet should their horse come 2nd or 3rd in the Queen Anne Stakes at 14:30.

In the video’s below you’ll see how you can use these offers to secure small losses and then bigger wins by trading these bets out.

That’s the first trade secured. In the video below you’ll see how I then secure my profit.

So you can see that I secured a profit of just over £3 for less than 5 minutes work. It’s as easy as that guys and I suggest that you get on board this and start to make some risk free profits.

In the second video I mention the correct stake to lay off the trade in order to secure our free money but it’s a calculation that needs a special calculator of which (shameless plug here!) you can get that calculator plus another trading technique that can be used to make more profits from the geegeez and the football here –
http://go.winninginformationnetwork.com/1000/67

Have a go and let me know how you get on. Any questions please leave me a comment.

Regards,

Eddie Lloyd