My blog

Just another WordPress site

  • Blog Home
  • Latest News
  • Members Area
  • About Betfan
  • Contact

The Colonel

January 26, 2017 By admin Leave a Comment

The American challenger Rawnaq features among 47 entries, the third-highest level in the last 11 runnings, for the £300,000 Grade One Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham on the third day of The Festival, St Patrick’s Thursday, March 16.

The Cyril Murphy-trained Rawnaq is going for a US$500,000 bonus after defeating European raidersShaneshill and Nichols Canyon (both Willie Mullins IRE) in the three-mile Grade One Calvin Houghland Iroquois Hurdle, part of the first Brown Advisory Iroquois Cheltenham Challenge, at Percy Warner Park, Nashville, on fast going in May.

The terms of the Brown Advisory Iroquois Cheltenham Challenge, brought in to revive transatlantic competition, are simple: win both the Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle and the Calvin Houghland Iroquois Hurdle within a year’s time to claim the bonus. Altogether, the purses and bonus would approach US$1-million in total winnings.

Rawnaq followed up his Iroquois Hurdle success with victory in the G1 Grand National Hurdle at Far Hills in October, when partnered by Ruby Walsh, and was second on his latest start in the G1 Colonial Cup at Camden in November.

The 10-year-old, who runs in the colours of Irvin Naylor, was previously trained in Ireland by Matthew Smith and already has experience at The Festival, having finished third in the 2015 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate over fences. He was also third in 2013 Greatwood Hurdle at The Open.

Trainer Cyril Murphy, who is based in Maryland, said: “It is so far so good with Rawnaq. After he ran in November, we left him alone for a month and then started to pick him up again before Christmas.

“He did a piece of work last week and did another bit on Tuesday, and everything seems to be moving in the right direction for us.”

“Rawnaq has been very solid. We bought him hoping he could be a Grade One horse but to go and do what he did last year and win two of them was great.”

“He got beat the last day, which was disappointing for everybody, but in hindsight I think the ground was even firmer than we wanted. He just didn’t have a cut at the fences.”

“Ruby Walsh rode him in October and was impressed. He made himself available to us after Jack Doyle got injured and that said enough to me as he was behind us on Nichols Canyon in the Iroquois. I asked Ruby if he felt we could finish in the first four or five in Cheltenham and he said he would not put us off chasing the bonus because it is an open year in the stayers’ division.”

“The horse has run well over fences and hurdles at Cheltenham, so we know the track doesn’t hold any fears. He is not ground dependent either as he won a good race on testing ground in Ireland.”

“At the moment, the plan is to leave here either on February 3 or February 6 to arrive in England the following day. It is a 12-hour drive from our place to Huntsville airport in Alabama, then he has a direct flight to Stansted and finally a road trip to Neil Mulholland’s [in Somerset] where he will be based. You are looking at about 36 hours door to door.”

“I worked with Neil Mulholland for a period of time at Nicky Henderson’s. We lost contact in the interim but we got back in contact through an existing owner of his who lives and follows the racing out here. Before Nicky’s, I was with Sir Mark Prescott for four years and then a conditional jockey with Bill Turner for four years. I rode 13 winners from about 200 rides.”

“If everything goes right, the hope at the moment to give Rawnaq a prep race in the National Spirit Hurdle at Fontwell on February 26.”

“Jack Doyle is going to ride him. He won on him in his first two starts last year and would have ridden him in his last two starts but for getting injured. It was always the plan for Jack to ride him if he was available because he obviously knows the horse and has experience around Cheltenham.”

Arrogate looks difficult to oppose Saturday in the Pegasus World Cup Invitational at Gulfstream Park.

Back next Thursday

Kevan Minter

 

Filed Under: Betfan, Horse Racing, Sports Tagged With: Neil Mulholland, Nichols Canyon, Ruby Walsh, US

Declan O’Donoghue

January 2, 2016 By admin Leave a Comment

Strange the ways of the betting world sometimes.

I certainly find it surprising after Leopardstown that the Cheltenham odds of Un De Sceaux remain unchanged while Don Poli’s have been pushed out.

It’s all very well to say that Un De Sceaux is like Moscow Flyer – if he doesn’t fall, he wins – but to my mind he was not travelling particularly well by his standards when he took a tumble at the second last.

Yes, Ruby Walsh may have been giving him a breather.

But is it not just slightly worrying that a horse who is such skinny odds for the Champion Chase was only a couple of lengths up on Simply Ned and Flemenstar at the time.

True, the latter was a real hero when with Peter Casey , but, two trainers later now, he has seemed very much a light of other days.

Certainly if I’m reading the body language right, neither Ruby nor Willie Mullins were exactly overjoyed afterwards.

Understandably so, of course. And not even the win of Long Dog – what a tough and classy customer he is! – lifted the mood too much.

Why people keep picking holes in the form of Don Poli I just don’t know.

It’s hardly a state secret that he only does what’s required.

He was asked some really searching questions in the Lexus, indeed Bryan Cooper thought that their goose was cooked before the last.

But the horse showed guts and attitude to rally and tough it out against some serious and battle hardened rivals.

And those who believe in the long arm of coincidence must wonder if the horse that finally gave Mullins his first Lexus could also be the one to break his Gold Cup hoodoo.

He does nothing spectacular and will never take your breath away, but in racing handsome is very much as handsome does.

Don Poli is Cheltenham proven, will prefer the likely better ground and will be still steaming up that famous hill when many others will have cried enough.

It’s a long time since Aidan O’Brien trained a Cheltenham Festival winner, but in Ivanovich Gorbatov he has a serious Triumph Hurdle prospect.

Or should we say Joseph has. For Aidan makes no secret of the fact that it’s Joseph that supervises the training of the jumping string.

O’Brien Jnr hasn’t got his full training license yet as the second part of his qualifying course last year coincided with the Breeder’s Cup.

Make no mistake though Joseph has every intention of a career training the jumping squad in Pilltown from where Aidan sent out Istabraq to glory all those years ago.

Alan King is assembling a fair squad for the Triumph, with Kempton scorer Gibralfaro – which came from the same source as former stable star Walkon – joining Sceau Royal and Who Dares Win in a formidable trio.

By his own high standards, popular local owner Barry Connell had a quiet enough Leopardstown Christmas Festival.

Yet Chain Gang certainly impressed when coming from off the pace to beat Aidan O’Brien’s Minella Aris and odds on jolly Road To Respect.

Mind you he needed every yard of the two and a half miles to do so.

So when trainer Alan Fleming said afterwards that he could go either up or down in trip he was probably only half right!

Just as interesting though was his assertion that the winner wouldn’t mind better ground, and that certainly opens up more options.

The Ryanair Hurdle was an absolute cracker.

Nichols Canyon is a tough nut, and in that tight finish having the rail and Ruby Walsh made all the difference.

But Identity Thief lost absolutely nothing in defeat.

Henry de Bromhead always had high hopes for the Champion Hurdle with this lad, even before he won the Fighting Fifth.

Faugheen still sets the standard though, and both he and stablemate Douvan in the Arkle will certainly be Irish bankers in March.

Many will see Un De Sceaux in the Champion Chase in the same light but he’s much too short a price for me on current evidence.

The re emergence of both Sprinter Sacre and Sire De Grugy has been heart warming.

Yet a horse that stayed in his box over the Festive season Special Tiara catches the eye value wise.

Ante post

Stan James Champion Hurdle – Identity Thief 2 pts each way 16/1 Stan James, Ladbrokes, Coral.

Betway Champion Chase – Special Tiara 2 pts. each way 16/1 Boylesports

Timico Gold Cup – Don Poli 4 pts win 6/1 generally

Back next Saturday.

Declan O’Donoghue

Irish Racing Club – CLICK HERE For Details!

Filed Under: Betfan, Horse Racing, Sports Tagged With: Champion Chase, Don Poli, Ruby Walsh, Un De Sceaux

Declan O’Donoghue

September 12, 2015 By admin Leave a Comment

A glorious weekend of flat racing on both sides of the Irish Sea, and of course the Arc Trials at Longchamp, it doesn’t get much better than this.

Certainly a time to savour and enjoy the last of the summer wine.

Yet the start of Listowel Harvest Festival Week tomorrow and the sudden onslaught of monsoon conditions in some places is a reminder that winter is on the horizon.

And Paul Nicholls pre season stable tour last Sunday whetted the appetite for the jumping game once more.

To describe Nicholls as resilient would be something of an understatement.

With the retirement of his former stable stars, some of his key men starting training careers of their own and Ruby Walsh departing things looked bleak last year.

Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins seemed sure to rule the roost between them, but a typically defiant Nicholls never saw it that way.

Instead he gave a superb front running performance in the hunt for another Champion Trainer title and bagged it for the tenth time in eleven years.

He finally accepts that Silviniaco Conti is not a Gold Cup horse – it took a while! – and the Grand National could be his end of season target, though of course a lot could happen between now and then.

Because of a minor injury hold up he won’t make the JN Wine Champion Chase at Down Royal – last year’s runner up Rocky Creek is his prime contender for that – and could go straight to the Betfair.

Unsurprisingly Dodging Bullets will again follow the Tingle Creek, Clarence House and Champion Chase route.

While he will certainly – barring injury to either – be facing Un De Sceaux on the Cotswolds in March, whether they will clash before that remains to be seen.

With all the gripping action at Leopardstown and “Donny” today, Cheltenham right now seems a million miles away.

But this is often the time to rustle up some great ante-post value investments.

And of course if you bet on the exchanges you’ll have the option of “laying off” at much shorter odds as the Festival approaches.

Or you could keep topping up your investments in the months ahead so that come mid March you could have quite a nest egg coming to you should your selection gallop up that famous hill in front.

As the late and great Sir Henry Cecil once said “horses make fools of us all.”

Indeed, but every so often you see something that jumps out at you.

Then of course the doubts set in “am I missing something obvious here because this bet looks too good to be true?”
Of course all too often there is a catch, or something goes wrong either on the day or in the build up.

Still, we keep living the dream because sometimes everything goes according to plan.

Monty’s Pass in the 2003 Grand National was my great moment – he should have carried at least a stone more – and now I see something else that interests me big time.

No, it doesn’t get my juices flowing quite like Jimmy Mangan’s Aintree hero did, but it’s still something I find hard to get out of my head.

And the man who trains my Arkle hopeful has serious Festival pedigree.

Just like it’s hard now to imagine a world without mobile phones, there was a time when Willie Mullins and Ruby Walsh didn’t carry all before them at Cheltenham.

Back in those days which still linger somewhere in the mists of memory, Edward O’Grady was the man who led the Irish charge.

Eighteen Festival winners is a mighty tally, and the Tipperary handler – the first man J P McManus sent horses to – has certainly had a quiet time of it in recent seasons.

But in Kitten Rock he once again has a horse to go to war with.

Bought in France by O’Grady for Simon Davis, he looked promising right from the moment he won his maiden hurdle in Navan.

Soon snapped up by J P McManus he was prolific, including a six in a row which concluded with the Red Mills Trial at Gowran Park.

He collected some notable scalps along the way, like Glens Melody in the Limestone Lad Hurdle at Naas and Max Dynamite, whom he hammered by 14 lengths at Limerick.
In the Champion Hurdle he travelled well for a long way and finished sixth to Faugheen.

Yet even as he was moving up the gears in the hurdle ranks, O’Grady was always adamant that he would be going over fences this season.

Well so he is, with the Arkle as his target. There is plenty of 16/1 available, and that looks a massive price to me.

As we suggested here a few weeks back, there is a strong possibility that Joseph O’Brien will be a full time jumps trainer next year, with J P McManus as the main patron.

This will please the Coolmore bosses no end.

Not that they don’t rate Joseph as a jockey – they very much do and with good reason.

But his weight problems won’t go away and with Ryan Moore now officially the number one jock they feel that Joseph can now concentrate fully on a different role.

As things stand he’s more or less training the ever increasing Aidan O’Brien jumping team as it is, spending every afternoon that he’s not at the races with the jumpers at Pilltown.

Seamie Heffernan and Colm O’Donoghue offer plenty of back up at Ballydoyle, and it’s interesting that William Buick was due to ride Bondi Beach in the St Leger today as that young pilot is very much on their radar.

Now with Order Of St George being re-routed to the Irish Leger at The Curragh tomorrow, Colm O’Donoghue, who was to ride him, switches to Bondi Beach.

None of this is to say that the strains and tensions this season between Aidan O’Brien and the Coolmore chiefs have disappeared.

Yet there does seem to be a thaw, and it helps that both sides acknowledge privately that there is room for negotiations and a different approach behind the scenes.

Ideally Coolmore would love to see Aidan once more totally concentrating on the flat next season, Ryan Moore in place as stable jockey (or Buick if Moore is still injured) and very much business as usual at Ballydoyle.

And, as even Sir Alex Ferguson found out, those Coolmore boys generally get their way.

ANTE POST ADVICE – Cesarewitch – Thomas Edison 16/1 Ladbrokes, Sporting Bet  2pts. each way

Arkle Chase – Kitten Rock 16/1 Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Sporting Bet, Bet Victor, Stan James, Betway, Betfair Exchange.  2 pts. each way.

Back next Saturday.

Declan O’Donoghue

 

http://hop.betkudos.com/1000/view/59

Filed Under: Betfan, Horse Racing, Sports Tagged With: Grand National, Ruby Walsh, Ryan Moore, Willie Mullins

The Shrewd Tipster

March 10, 2015 By admin Leave a Comment

After all the talk, maybe too much talk, the Cheltenham Festival is finally here. It was a fairly quiet last week with some poor quality racing; although my first two bets of for the month won at 8/1 & 9/2 so already well on the way to yet another profitable month.

It did give me a lot of time to review the jumps form & watch a lot of replays however most seemed to be small field, slowly run affairs on winter soft ground none of which will be encountered this week at Cheltenham, some horses are going to be in for a shock and I think a lot of the form will be turned upside down.

So now for some advice to hopefully help you pick a few winners.

For me a horse must have had a previous placed run at this unique track before I would consider betting it, particular if its been at a recent festival or the big November meeting, 8 festival winners last year had ran there.

In my opinion the best Irish course form is at Navan which is closest in its configuration to Cheltenham than any other track over there.

The average number of runs in a season for a Championship race winner prior to Cheltenham since 2010 is 2.68; I consider a previous run this calendar year essential.

Review each race and keep an eye on collateral form, if a horse runs well and boosts another’s chances in a later race act swiftly.

Top Trainers festival facts:

Paul Nicholls has had 77 consecutive chase losers at the festival, quick quiz who was his last winner?

Amazingly Kauto Star which incidentally was also Ruby Walsh’s last chase winner aswell!

Willie Mullins has dreadful record in UK handicap chases he’s 0-23 at Festival and over 70 consecutive losers overall.

Six of the last ten David Pipe festival winners wore headgear, also has a great record in the Fred Winter.

Twenty of Jonjo O’Neil’s twenty five festival winners have been in races over 3 miles or further.

The main race on the first day and possible the race of the week is the Champion Hurdle. Faugheen may well be a machine but his price is based on reputation not form, I don’t think The New One hurdles well enough, the blessed Hurricane Fly has been allowed to dominate Irish races without being challenged by his top stable mates such as Annie Power & Un De Sceaux, this year they’ve allowed Arctic Fire to run against him but coast home behind, I think he could easily turn the tables on him and rates a cracking each way bet at 20/1.

The bookies are desperate for your business, compare the best prices, I use OddsChecker.com and take advantage of the special offers, some are fantastic but I don’t want to mention names as they have closed my account!

This week’s new AW hotlist entries:

SAMHAIN, HAKAM, EMIRATES SKYCARGO & KINGS BAYONET

Have a great festival; remember a bad day at the races is better than a good day at work.

Until next Tuesday.

Jimmy Welsh
The Shrewd Tipster
http://go.betfan.com/1000/295

Filed Under: Betfan, Horse Racing, Sports Tagged With: Ruby Walsh, SAMHAIN, UK, Willie Mullins

Leading Jockeys at The Festival

February 12, 2015 By Ed Leave a Comment

Previous winners of the Boodles Leading Jockey Award are listed below, with current jockeys in bold.

Screen Shot 2015-02-16 at 23.09.16

Filed Under: BetfanCheltenham2015 Tagged With: Barry Geraghty, Mick Fitzgerald, Richard Dunwoody, Ruby Walsh

Progress Report For Cheltenham…

March 12, 2014 By Bet Kudos Leave a Comment

We’re halfway through the battle between the British and the Irish and of course the punter and the bookie. The score sheet has been settled and looks pretty much like this:

British: Too busy looking at Mullins

Irish: Too busy looking at Mullins

Punter: Too busy looking at Mullins

Bookie: Too busy looking at Mullins

Did I mention Mullins the champion Irish trainer?

Now with only three winners from 14 races the trainer has still done exceptionally well and both opening races have been taken by the trainer with Vautour and Faugheen. Brilliant victories and both succeeded by the brilliant jockey Ruby Walsh.

He’s up there again today with Felix Yonger who heads the market with R Walsh on board as they bid to take the treble on the three days. SkyBet will be shitting their pants (excuse expletives but it’s true!!) should they do it again as they are refunding stakes on losing wagers should the favourite win the first race of the day. I would love to meet their trading manager and ask him at what point whilst pissed up on a Friday night did he come up with that idea when certainly the first 2 days had such strong favourites.

That, there point then brings me to the point of today’s article. Bookies are becoming ridiculous with their offers and it is with a little clever scouting, possible to make our money go that little bit further. I’m not here to tout offer from offer but it is a seemingly obvious thing for various outfits to promote the plethora of bargains out there. Too bloody right ‘an all.

One of the recent ones I saw was 4/1 about Quevega. Now if I could have got even £10 on Quevega at 4/1 then that would have been one of the smartest bets I’d ever had. Of course Corals won’t let me near them with a barge pole but to bring in new business then they’ll stick their bollocks out right on the line!

So when it comes to the festival there are many things to consider. A careful selection process is of course primary in anyone’s approach but as equally as important is taking advantage of all the offers available out there and making sure that your money is going as far as possible. Even if your stake is returned as a free bet, it’s still a free bet to bet on the next. That’s effectively two bets for the price of one….

You’ll see I’ve got two free bets for today that are for the festival and let’s hope we can have a good one…

MATR

 

Filed Under: Back, Bet Kudos, Betting Knowledge, Betting Systems, Horse Racing, Lay, Make Money Online, Sports, Trading Tagged With: Felix Yonger, MATR, money, Ruby Walsh

Connect With Us

Check Out Betfans Top Tipsters

Most Popular Posts

  • Q would be worried about the bookmakers spying on us all 974 views
  • Looking For Value 45 views
  • The Colonel 44 views
  • Spotting Market Moves And How To Play Them 43 views
  • Bankers Bonus Eyecatchers 43 views
  • Irish Trainers Can Win The Big Races – By Ian Hudson 42 views
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott 42 views
  • Greyhound Master Tipster 42 views
  • Greyhound Master Tipster 41 views
  • Newmarket July Festival 41 views

Recent Posts

  • Trackside In Ireland – By Declan O’Donoghue
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott

Recent Comments

  • reviewer on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • Reg, Humpage on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • Peter Smith on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • David on The Ultimate Profit Club Trading Video
  • Watson on Simon Holden Racing Club

Copyright © 2021 Betfan Ltd, 65 Morden Hill, Lewisham, London, SE13 7NP | Registered in England No. 07139640. VAT No. GB 997 6437 45