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The Queen Mother Champion Chase

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Last week I covered my staking plan for Cheltenham, if you missed it, you can read it here. I also covered the Supreme Novices Hurdle and you can read that, here.

Having decided to cover 16 races in my analysis, today I’m going to look at the Queen Mother Champion Chase.

This showpiece is 2 miles and a Grade 1, Class 1 race.

First thing on the list when analysing these big races, is to look at the trends and this is a great way to narrow down the field and give us a head start.

Here are some of the key trends in the race –

30 of the last 32 winners had won over this course and distance 

16 of the last 17 winners had not run more than four times in the season

33 of the last 34 winners had an SP of 11/1 or under

14 of the last 15 winners were rated 160 or higher 

14 of the last 15 winners had one at least one Grade 1 race

The only horse that fits all of the trends, is Altior at a generous 8/11!

I generally look to oppose the favourites in any race where I’m looking for value, but when betting at the festival, we’re looking for as many winners as we can. This is because we have a short timeframe to make a profit, as we’re using a separate betting bank. On paper, Altior looks a machine and with previous experience of the gruelling test that can be Cheltenham, he has to be on of the festival’s bankers.

Min is the obvious threat but looking at all of the trends, I’ll be using Altior as a single and in some form of multiple bets.

I’ll be back on Thursday with a look at one more race and then it’s time to pack my bags and head down to the meeting! The excitement is already brewing here at Betfan towers!

There is one selection for the Turbo Winning System, today –

14:20 Southwell – Crosse Fire 

Stop Betting Now Until You Read This!

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STOP BETTING NOW! 

That’s not what you’d expect to hear from a tipping company! However, there’s a reason I say this. Many years ago when I first started to take my betting seriously, I stopped betting and took a few months off. I was still immersed in the world of tipsters, systems and my own analysis but I paper traded everything. I didn’t place a single bet for nearly 6 months. A colleague of mine did the same and stopped for over a year when he started out!

One of the biggest pitfalls in betting is to read some marketing, jump straight in and start betting straight away. But, would you buy a car without a test drive, first? I know I wouldn’t. We need to do some extra legwork before jumping straight in. That’s the beauty of Betfan’s proofing pages. They’re updated every night and you can look at advised prices, BSP, SP and even break down the results to 1 point level stakes.

Let’s take a look –

If you go to any service in the member’s area, you can now download the FULL history of any tipster to an excel sheet. This is how you test drive any service before committing. You can download for SP, BSP and BOG. So, whenever you get an email for a service, head over to the proofing pages, download the excel file and take a look at what type of bets are delivered with the service.

Could you cope with one of the losing runs? Would you have kept your cool when 5 horses came a close second from win bets? These are the questions you need to be asking yourself before signing up for any tipster.

Once you’re comfortable with the history/proofing of a tipster, THEN you can start betting. Also, before you do, you need to make sure that you have the correct bank set up and are staking properly.

You can see how to work this out in a video I did a few years ago. It’s still relevant and will work with any service –

Click Here For The Calculator

As always any questions let me know 🙂

Eddie Lloyd

 

We had a nice result on Tuesday with two winners from the Turbo Winning System.

There are three selections today –

14:40 Newcastle – Urban Soul

15:10 Newcastle – Desert Ruler 

19:45 Chelmsford – Compass Scoobie 

Bookies Galore!

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With the era of online comparison sites, as a consumer, we’re spoilt for choice when it comes to finding the best price for our purchases. Last year, shoppers spent over 133 billion quid on their online shopping. That figure is set to rise by over 16%, this year. That’s a LOT of money being spent online.

But what of the online gambling industry?

A report issued by the Gambling Commission, this year states –

“New research shows almost half of people in Britain gamble”

That 50 % of the population generated over 4.5 billion pounds in online betting. Of the £4.5billion generated online £2.6billion came from casino games, £1.6billion from betting, £152million from betting exchanges, £153million from bingo and £26million from pool betting. Online slot machine-style games alone generated £1.8billion.

Wow!

Having been brought up and educated in the industry, where shops and on-course wagers were the only way to get your money down, the online betting industry has increased exponentially and, as a result, shops and on-course betting is a dying trade. At Cheltenham, earlier this year, I was with a group of about 12 lads and every one of them placed their bets on their phone. I, personally think it’s a shame. There’s something special about counting those crisp notes and collecting your winnings in cash. Having said that, even 5 and 10 notes are bloody plastic now!

The online betting industry is growing every year and by the time the next generation comes along, it will be the only way to get your money down.

That said, as with price comparison sites, for everything from insurances to holidays, it’s vital that we get the best price for our bets.

Why would you stick to one bookie who offers you 8/1 about your nag, when another is offering 10/1?

It’s vital that you shop around and open as many accounts as you can. That way, you can get the best price you can and by betting with different bookies, you’ll increase your chance of keeping your accounts open, if even remotely successful!

You can view the best of the online bookies, here –

Open As Many Accounts As You Can! 

Let me know what you think? Do you prefer to place your bets online, or are you still betting at your local high-street bookie?

Before I sign off, there are two selections for the system I showed you last week –

Here’s the Turbo Winning System

Today’s selections –

17:20 Wolverhampton – D’Waterside

17:50 Wolverhampton – Boketto

Eddie Lloyd