There’s only one meeting on today with two cards being subjected to abandonment. Never great to wake and find that there are only 6 races to analyse. However, Southwell isn’t that bad a card and I’ve gone through all of the runners and looked for the horses I feel have the best chance of at least placing.
So, here’s my take on the only card of the day –
A 13 runner handicap is never going to be easy but I can’t take the 15/8 about the favourite, Star Ascending. It’s always worth opposing such short priced horses in a big field. My pick would be for the Richard Fahey trained Ingleby Spring. She was slightly outclassed last time out and drops back into a class 6. She’s been eased in the weights by 3 lbs and the claimer on board has taken two very close of late. He’ll be looking to go one better, here and Ingleby Spring is worth an each way tickle.
Ingleby Spring 13/2 Betfair
Another ticky affair and we’re 4/1 the field for this handicap. Caged Lightning looks to be the likeliest to go off the favourite. My preference is for Fran Berry’s ride on Argante. He’s got the stamina, having run well over hurdles and coming into a class 5 should see him up his game. He’s had a bit of each way money for him in the offices and this is worth a go.
Argante 6/1 Hills
The most competitive race of the day in terms of the prize money. Some of them might need to the run, here including the favourite Coeur De Lion. I’m going to oppose him at that price and go with the top weight, Mixboy. There will be a question mark about the standard going but he’s got the stamina, Fanning takes the helm and knows him well so he’s got to be worth an each way shout.
Mixboy 7/1 Betfair
Another large field handicap and we’re 5/1 the field. I’ve gone with another top weight in this one and the Carroll trained Mister Music. He ran well over this course and distance last time out. He’s up 6 lbs but it’s a quick turn around and he’ll be looking for the double. I’ll side with him and there’s still some value to be had for the place part of the bet at the current odds.
Mister Music 11/2 Corals
Not a fan of these Novice races so will be keeping the powder dry!
It’s definitely a day for the top weights in my analysis! I’ll be siding with Dixon’s Crosse Fire. He’s not shown up of late but dropping into this class 6 and not a lot looking to threaten, I think today should be his day. He’s short enough in the betting and there’s money coming for him. On that basis, to end the day, I’m going to scrap the each way bet and go for the win only bet on him.
Crosse Fire 4/1 SkyBet
Let’s hope that we have a good day and good luck!