I am continually updating my list of horses to follow and watch replays of every race. I used to just be interested in the final two furlongs but I now know the importance of watching the whole race. Watch every section of a race and see where a horse works hardest, it might have ran too fast too soon or has been asked to make up too much ground.
Where there has been a big draw bias note horses that have not won but ran well from an impossible draw, I note these as ‘outliners’ in my list.
Look for horses that have been held up and lead close home winning by a small margin, they will only be put up a few pounds in the ratings and check it’s breeding to see if it might even improve for a step up in trip next time. My favourite bet is an improving three year old who fits this criteria.
Last week’s new entries to the hotlist:
STROKE OF MIDNIGHT, THIRD TIME LUCKY, GRAND INQUISITOR, BAQQA, DARK DEED, PUTTING GREEN, SYRDARYA, ROCKET PUNCH & RACING HISTORY.
My Punt of The Day: 2:50 Redcar – Tonto’s Spirit – Each Way Bet 8/1 (BetFred)
Back next Tuesday.
Jimmy Welsh
The Shrewd Tipster
http://go.betfan.com/1000/295
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