Today is not the best of cards but there is still profits that can be made. I have decided just to focus on HEREFORD today as the all-weather doesn’t offer much and the other jump meeting is at AYR. Well our AYR performance from last year and the year before hasn’t been great. I guess there are too many local trainers that we just don’t know much about so I think this year we are really going to try and maximise our Strengths, but we are always reviewing our selections for un profitable trends and it’s looking like backing horses at Ayr over the long term only costs us money. So we would have to have Very Strong info to get involved at that track. We haven’t had that up there since FONTWELL ROAD won the Ayr gold cup all those years back.
Things have been a bit hit ad miss for the start of the year but there are definite signs of improvement as the month goes on and we have some really nice bets lined up in the coming weeks if they equate to value in the market so I am excited to see what happens. Right forward we go with this weeks…
TUESDAY’S HORSES IN FOCUS
Hereford 12:20 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 5) 16f – I know that there has been a lot of work put in to SABLE ISLAND 2/1 but I do see the price as been a problem. Yes the horse was useful on the flat for Sir Michael Stout but his mark was only similar to ROMANOR trading around 12/1 I think there is little to choose between them in past flat form yet the prices are miles apart and I personally would rather risk the larger price with horses of these profiles.
Hereford 12:50 Maiden Hurdle (Class 5) 20f – PITON PETE at 3/1 represents a little value. The horse really needs a strong pace to run at and didn’t get that at Plumpton latest. On that speed favouring track the horse was caught for toe and just couldn’t keep up. Today the make up of the race should make it quickly run and then Piton can show what he is all about.
Hereford 2:00 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 25f – The horse that beat HANDSOME SAM 12/1 came out next race and destroyed another field of experienced rivals at Ludlow franking the form in no uncertain terms. Handsome Sam is expected to make into a 120 horse this year. They feel he is improving at home as he learns about the game and a solid run is expected today.
Hereford 3:05 Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f – I can’t help thinking that COUGAR KID 25/1 is too big for this race. Yes it’s a step up in class for the horse. That said the horse rates clear on the clock for us from a couple of run that have produced solid speed ratings. Course and distance winner the horse may be good enough to get a place at least and as for the horses mark I think it’s quite lenient currently so a small each way play could be the way to go.
Hereford 3:40 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 19f – There are a couple at really big prices here the first is GORES ISLAND 20/1 a bit of an in out performer but on his day this 12yo still has some ratings of note and from a stable in decent nick at the moment he should be considered despite younger rivals. The other is MODELIGO 33/1 not over raced for a 9 yo and has plenty of wins to his name albeit not over this far. The stable are slowly coming to hand and might well start knocking in a few winners at decent prices.