Ok we had a good profit in the first race of the series with the selection finishing 1st and 3rd , pretty obvious with the winner and Josses hill getting up to take the place money.
Any way we move on to the Queen Mother and see what we can find for this one.
Ok the 5 main contenders for the race from the ratings are :-
1. Champagne Fever 5/1
2. Sprinter Scare 3/1
3. Dodging Bullets 9/2
4. Mr Mole 6/1
5. Sire De Grugy 7/2
They are the main protagonists as due to the fact that winner has come from the top 5 in the market over the last 6 years so we will concentrate on theses.
Campagne Fever
• Odds rank 4
• Contender rank 1
• Class rank 5
• Win % 50
Ok these are the only ratings that this one qualifies in all the other ratings it falls well behind up against the other runners.
Sprinter Sacre
• Odds rank 1
• Contender rank 2
• Projected rank 1
• Average rank 1
• Distance rank 5
• LTO rank 1
• Class rank 3
• Good race in class rank 2
• Win % 78
• Offical rating 1
What can you say this one qualifies in all the ratings and smashes the averages for all the ratings , but these may be a little skewed due to the fact that before its last run it hadn’t run for a year.
Dodging Bullets
• Odds rank 3
• Projected rank 3
• Average rank 2
• Distance rank 3
• LTO rank 4
• Good race in class rank 1
• Offical rating 3
The dodge qualifies 7 out of the 10 ratings and in those beats the average in all but is in the lower range of the distance ratingand falls well short in the win % for the winners of this race
Mr Mole
• odds rank 5
• contenders rank 3
these are only ratings that this horse can justify being a contender and it also falls down in the averages and range of the other ratings
Sire De Grugy
• odds rank 2
• projected rank 2
• average rank 3
• LTO rank 2
• Class rank 2
• Offical Rating 2
Qualifies from 6 of the 10 ratings and does reasonably well in the other ratings average and range wise.
Notoriously this race doesn’t supply any big shocks with the winner coming from the top 5 in the market and we also know that in the last 6 running’s the winner has been the favourite 3 times even the places have been filled with the top 5 in the betting so we really don’t have that much room for manoeuvre when it comes to the place market as well.
If Sprinter Sacre can come on from his come back run then he it will be definitely the one to beat.
Sire De Grugy had a comeback run before winning the next time out but I’m not sure about the quality of that race.
Dodging Bullets is a consistent enough runner and will always be there or there abouts with its stamina
Champagne fever is no doubt a very good horse but just falls short in a lot of the ratings compared to the rest of the contender field
Mr Mole had a very good race LTO giving the field saome 10 length before a great ride from the champ brought him home, but not quite sure if the other horses in the race gave all there runnings and does really get let down by its other non qualifying ratings.
With all the above in mind I’m thinking if Sprinter Scare can return to old form he has this in the bag.
I will play
Sprinter Scare for the win as there is no real value in playing the eachway market.
Leave a Reply