Ok Guys this is a follow up of the last dutching blog and hopefully I can give you a couple of ways of finding runners to dutch to add to your portfolio of betting to move your profit forward for the future.
Dutching isn’t for everyone but it can be a useful tool in your armory on ways to find profit.
You may ask why do we dutch rather than just bet your best contenders in a race with equal stakes?
Well for me if you have a small price contender of three and they consistently win rather than other contenders then you will be out of pocket as the return for these is obviously lower and you would ultimately lose money, so dutching is the safer option so if one of your contenders does win you gain the same profit whatever.
I’m going to show you strategies on finding contenders for dutching both by simply using the racing post ratings and a couple of other factors which you should be able to use to quickly find dutching contenders for the next days racing.
All you need is the free to use racing post website and a dutching calculator.
Ok selection strategy one.
1. Hurdles and chase races between 2m & 2m 110y
2. Handicaps only
3. Between 8 and 12 runners
4. We are only interested in horses in the top 5 of the weights
5. Once you have the above we are only then interested in the horses in the top 3 racing post ratings from the above 5 (any with the same rating count as one)
6. Once we have cut the field to 3 these runners have to have finished in the top 5 last time out (if the horse fell or unseated rider last time out we use the previous run)
7. If only 2 of the last three qualify last time out that’s fine you just dutch the 2 but only if all 3 don’t match up.
8. When put through the dutching calculator you must have at least a 50% return on investment
9. If all the above criteria are met than you have a bet.
Ok the top 3 are self-explanatory
So step 4 we look at the top 5 in the weights
Step 5 they must the top 3 RPR rated from the 5 :- in this example they all still qualify as any with the same rating count as one.
Step 6 must have finished in the top 5 LTO :- here we lose The Ice Factor because it finished 9th LTO
Now at this stage we still have 4 runners so as to cut it to 3 I would drop the runner with the lowest RPR which is Kai Broon
So we end up with Horse 2,4 and 5
So we stick the odds in the dutching calculator to see if we can get at leat 50% ROI which we clearly do .
This confirms you have a goer and you place your bet.
Horse 5 went on to win the race so we would have collected.
Ok selection strategy two
This one I have been posting selections on my face book page MC Racing and has been 2 from 2 since posting.
1. 5 & 6 furlong AW handicap sprints
2. More than 7 runners
3. Must have its last race between 7 & 35 days
4. From the above we only want the 3 with the highest RPR
5. Must have finished in the top 4 Last time Out
Ok here is the card from today’s qualifying race.
I was asked how we split our stake, as you can see here I am using a dutching calculator so all you do is put in the odds off the contenders add your stake in th total staked box and hit calculate and it does all for you. If you use the betfair exchange then that has a built in one on the race card.
As you can see if you set the card with the highest RPR from top to bottom and then check each runner as we go down you will see that horse 4,1 & 9 are the 3 qualifiers full filling all the criteria.
Dutch of the day
1. New Leyf – 5.4
2. Moiety -5.7
3.Shakee Rose – 6.6
3 points stake
ROI = 95% if we have a winner
New Leyf won the race
With all the above strategies we use a 3 point bet .
I was asked how we split our stake, as you can see here I am using a dutching calculator so all you do is put in the odds off the contenders add your stake in the total staked box and hit calculate and it does all for you. If you use the betfair exchange then that has a built in one on the race card.
If you click the stake button add your stake and the calculator will split the stake to the correct sizes and all you have to do is click place bets and you are done.
Any way have a play around with the above two and have paper bet or two and see how you get on.
I use these to great effect and with a bit of practise you could aswell . you may even be able to adapt them to suit yourselves.
As usual any question feel free to ask .
All The Best