We are into day two of the Chester May festival and already we have had some big priced winners and just to name one was Silvanus in the 16:55 class 3 conditions sprint going off at a massive 37.18 on Betfair. Thankfully the weather hasn’t disrupted the meeting so far and the ground has stayed on the good side of soft.
The May meeting is Chester’s premier meeting of the year and normally attracts some very good horses over the course of the 3 days, so I thought that I might take a look at what could be considered the race of the meeting, THE CHESTER VASE.
The event was established in 1907, and it was originally open to horses aged three or four. The result of the first running was a dead-heat.
For a period the race was contested over 1 mile, 5 furlongs and 75 yards. It was restricted to three-year-olds and cut to 1 mile, 4 furlongs and 53 yards in 1959. It was abandoned in 1969, and extended by several yards in 1970.
The race is a group 3 contest for 3 year old colts and geldings run over 1m 4f 66y and is considered a decent derby trial, with the last horse to win this and go on to win the derby was Ruler Of The World in 2013.
A few pointers for the race will tell us that the favourite has won the race three times from the last five renewals with all of the winners coming from the top three in the market. The winning trainer on average has had a course strike rate of 26% percent or higher for races in the class and the winning horse has had a winning strike rate of at least 25% and the Ryan Moore, Adian O’Brien combination has won it 3 times from the last 5.
There are only six runners in this years race and looks like it could be a hotly contested race.
There are two runners that fit the above bill at the moment and they are –
Storm The Stars
Hans Holbein trainer has a trainer strike rate of 47% with the horse having a win strike rate of 33% and comes here with the Ryan Moore , Adain O’Brien combo.
Storm The Stars trainer has a decent strike rate as well coming in at 29% with the horse having an overall strike rate of 25%.
Both are currently in the top three of the market.
Others to consider could be Future Empire who is also in the top three of the market and has a strike rate of 25% but is let down by the trainer strike rate you could also put Tannaaf into the mix on its win strike rate of 25% but again is let down by the trainers success at the track.
Taking all the above into consideration and with the help of a few ratings I am pretty sure the two to concentrate on are Hans Holbein and Storm The Stars.
All The Best,