By Our High Standards. “VERY POOR”
Monday 14th. We are nearly half way through 1 of the most difficult punting months of the year, with the transitional period from flat to jumps, horses over the top and ever changing ground conditions (even during the meeting its self).
Amazingly we are not struggling for winners, as at present I am hitting a very, very acceptable 34%, but I am in negative equity at the moment due to “having a swing” at the wrong 1s, which is not an insurmountable problem as everything evolves around “getting the winners in the 1st place.”
I was told to leave Salisbury alone by a head travelling lad as the ground had completely gone and with a poor card at Mussleburgh we concentrated on Windsor.
NICHELS AND DIMES was being touted to me from very good places and although he was still a maiden, he had gone off fav 4 times in his short career, due to his very good homework. Back in handicap company again today and off his lowest mark of 74 he had to be a bet. At 10/1 I just had to punt him and put him up to my BETFAN client base as a MAX EW bet early doors.
Hunter Chases (what, you say, same as I did 5 years ago!!!!) before you mock the afflicted, we made an amazing 340 points profit on them last year to advised stakes and 169 to levels. Even if your not a jumps fan its VERY WORTH WHILE joining just for the Hunter Chase information, because if anything like last year its money in the bank.
Although it was the 1st Hunter chase of the year and across the water, last time out winner NORTHER BAY looked a decent bet at Limerick, but taking all the factors into account we didn’t steam in at 11/8 but he was well worth a punt.
We are off to Huntingdon tomorrow and hopefully we have a goodun to punt.
Tuesday 16th. Yesterday ended up being a level day with our MAX ew NICHOLS AND DIMES finishing an unlucky 3rd after getting bumped twice in the last furlong and running on very strongly to nick us a place at 10/1. BETFAN also put this up as the Mondays free tip so it would of been nice to of won but a place gives us a profit.
NORTHER BAY didn’t really get his jumping going and finished a rather tired 2nd. As I said yesterday if you subscribe and follow these Hunter Chases all season there are very handsome profits to be made.
I am off to Huntingdon today and taking Mr Jolly, so he can keep me entertained with stories for the 2 hour drive.
We are told that COMPLICIT will love the 7f at Leicester today and also the ground and is fully expected to turn over the short priced fav. VC are offering a standout 15/8 so I get 2 of my bettors to take the price and put this up to my clients. Also it’s nice the Dicky (Richard Johnson) really likes the chances of BUCK THE TREND at Huntingdon and at 9/2 we think its a bet to nothing ew and also put this up.
Mr Jolly is in fine fettle reminiscing and reliving the past and reminds me of when we had been racing at Gt Yarmouth one afternoon and he tells me to back Lester Piggott on the fav at even money only for me to put £5 ew on a 10/1 shot instead, yes you’ve guessed my 10/1 shot beats Piggotts mount in a photo finish and I’m caught hook line and sinker.
Alec is driving because I should be at school, we stop for a drink or 5 on the way home and I can even buy a round with my winnings. 5 or 6 drinks later we are about 10 miles from home in Alec’s mini pickup van, when there is a bang and the back wheel comes past us. No worries Alec says we will make it home and we did, it was ok along the straights as the engine in the front balanced things out, but when we went round left hand bends there was an awful lot of sparks and banging.
BUCKING THE TREND is going really nicely and is booked for a place at the very least, until he demolishes 2 out and goodnight to a good bet and my Betfan points as he finishes a winded 4th.
COMPLICIT is a complete nightmare at the stalls and keeps rearing up and backing away after 5 minutes of this I am praying that the fantastic handlers don’t man handle him in as we already know our fate. Thankfully they give up on him and all bets are refunded.
So an eventful day Mr Jolly’s won a weeks pension and I’ve done about 4 weeks worth.
I will tell you a story about a fallen tree we encountered on the way home from Newmarket 1 evening, but that’s for another day.
Wednesday 16th. I have 3 very strong messages today for Cafe Society, Billowing and Long wave.
CAFE SOCIETY runs 1st under Jamie Spencer and for some reason he has it 2 lengths of the back of the pace and in making his run is blocked and lets the winner get first run on him and finishes a fast finishing 2nd. Ridden just like his name sake Frank.
Thank goodness Charlie Longsden pulls out LONG WAVE because the going is dire. So we have to wait for BILLOWING at Kempton tonight. The John Gosden information I receive is very strong so I am not worried about this drifting out to 12/1 as I am told this is a top class 2yo. I have backed this at 8/1 ew thankfully I get best odds guaranteed which I think is a fantastic concession and all you must attempt to get this. BILLOWING carves its way through the field and hits the front only to be nutted bang on the line by a 25/1 rag, gutted a nice winning day, but I am gutted as it could of been a great 1.
Thursday 17th. My BETFAN points are in freefall, I am gutted that I am even lower than The Don at the moment, but I am hitting am amazing 34% winners which proves we are receiving great information I am just getting our staking wrong at the moment but with these percentages we WILL turn it round, TRUST ME I’m a doctor, lol.
SORYAH from the Luca Cumani stable is the only decent information I have received today and she runs at Kempton tonight. I take the 8/1 ew and advise everyone to do the same.
I am told we have a MAXIMUM bet at Ascot on Saturday and Sir Michael has requested that HRM is present to see her horse hopefully win.
I’m not 2 concerned about watching the days racing as its pretty ordinary to say the least and most of the jockeys will need windscreen wipers as the whether is awful, so I go out to buy 2 wide screen TV’s to go in my new office which is above the flat which used to be a double garage.
Hughsey has SORYAH really well placed during the race and once again best odds guaranteed has come up trumps because this has gone off at 12/1, sods law we are agonisingly beaten a neck into 4th and lose our ew, damn and blast is shouted at the TV and once again a great price winner just eludes us.
With this type of information and these sorts of prices we will some be languishing in big profits and wondering whatever we were worrying about. Another day tomorrow.
Friday 18th. Cheltenham with Keith “Magoo” Chatterbox today, so I have my rubber pants on, but luckily I’m catching the train to Ascot tomorrow.
All the way to Cheltenham the phone doesn’t stop ringing and I have tips coming out of the old aris. I am told that we must put up and go with CAPTAIN SUNSHINE who is gonna be ridden from the back and come with a late charge 2 out. At 9/2 in such a big field I back and advise ew.
We have to wait until after the 1st at Haydock and if the ground is right we have a NAP there.
Wayne Hutchinson has been told to lead all the way on PANTXOA and Alan King is banging in winners early for his operation and at 10/3 we also back this.
Confirmation that the ground is perfect for MUSICAL COMEDY and as I say in my email to my clients this is a maximum bet for all of us and hopefully we can all get the 6/4.
Magoo nearly takes out a white van on the M6 at high speed but apart from that just the normal seat of your pants scary stuff.
I pop up into the BETDAQ box to get a good view and away from the hustle and bustle and there I can use the machine and get my bets on easily.
Unfortunately I have a perfect view of CAPTAIN SUNSHINE, who is never really jumping or going and is ultimately very disappointing. Wayne Hutchinson does exactly as he’s told and jumps out PANTXOA and puts in a perfect round of jumping until 2 out which he gets completely wrong and there is no forgiving when banging a Cheltenham fence and he finishes an unlucky clear 2nd. Jumpings the name of the game.
Richard Hughes is different class on MUSICAL COMEDY as he dictates the pace and runs out a very impressive winner for us and our maximum bet. Even so a losing day which is so annoying, but hey a NAP at Ascot tomorrow.
A quick shower and out into Montpelier wine bar and then probably on to a club.
I remember last year when Paul Cabbage came with me, he’s a big lump, we were downstairs in a nightclub and a fight broke out and as he used to be a bouncer, he decided to split up the fight and picked up 1 of the 3 rolling around blokes by the throat and dragged him out of the door, the others legged it. Cabbage emerged through the door looking a bit sheepish, followed by the bloke holding his throat, only to tell me he had thrown out the bouncer who was trying to split the fight up himself.
Saturday 19th. I’m on the old rattler heading towards London whilst writing this and hopefully I don’t keep getting millions of emails because of logging onto their Wi-Fi.
Last night went without any great incident and was relatively quiet for a Friday race night. I left the wine bar and popped across the road to O Neills where the Irish folk singer was in full swing and then into the Queens hotel to see who was whaling on the karaoke, probably the same 2 girls that were last year.
Ending a quiet night in bar 21 which is basically a converted downstairs dungeon, god knows what would happen if a fire broke out with only 1 exit door which leads up steep stairs, well I do but it doesn’t bear thinking about.
A fantastic card at Ascot today, I shall not say racing “yet” because the jury is still out on whether it should be held this late in the year due to the very changeable goings and we all want the best horses to come to the fore and not a greedy bookies benefit day.
I could do with a good winning day today as I am personally losing my hard earned this month and I am also aware of the lack of points on BETFAN.
The Stoute camp really like HRH horse today in the 2 miler ESTIMATE and we are going to back this at 9/4. Johnny Murtagh is popping across for 4 rides and he has certainly been a revelation this year and I like the way GORDON LORD BYRAN has been running of late and the way he shaped on Arc day when 2nd a couple of weeks ago and 12/1 is a good ew bet.
Now arriving into the capital and a couple of changes and we will be there, so until tomorrow happy punting, I hope.
Sunday 20th. Up early today and gonna help the paper boy and see if he will split his earnings with me after the ground was totally devastated by the rain. As hinted to earlier in the week HRH was in fact in attendance to watch her ESTIMATE run, who was unfortunately totally bogged down in the awful going and she could never use her good turn of foot as it was totally negated by the heavy going (in my opinion). The time of the race also indicates heavy going as it was 16 seconds slower then standard.
Even the most avid Johnny Murtagh follower would of struggled to find the 1st winner (ROYAL DIAMOND) at 20/1 and the 1st round to the greedy 1s. As Simon Clare said in the morning if ESTIMATE won it would cost Corals 5 million, so that means they have won about 2-3 million on the race. The 2nd prize is also winging its way across the water this morning after the very free sweating SLADE POWER won and trading as 4th fav, although the bookies will say it was a level race, I am sure its another winner in the book for most of them.
A complete shocker for us punters as SEAL OF APPROVAL 16/1 bolts in by 4l as the total outsider of the field, where we had 3 VERY well backed horses against him. Although the 1st English winner certainly another satchel filler.
Johnny Murtagh report after the race the even his mount the good old reliable GORDON couldn’t handle the conditions and wasn’t given a hard time. A disastrous day for punters, certainly for me and probably most of the UK.
At least in the “bigun” the cream did rise to the top and we had a fantastic race as the 1st 3 all ran to figures of 130+ which is amazing, but this race was still nearly ran in 7 seconds slower than standard.
12/1, 20/1, 50/1 & 16/1 sums up the day in the last, results wise anyway.
I would of thought the big 3 and probably the small 10,000 are already printing next years diary’s with this QIPCO day firmly IN CAPITALS already entered.
“WHY AND WHEN IT’S TIME TO JOIN A SERVICE.”
As all us tipsters know, we go through great runs and poor runs, so the best time, believe it or not is to join on the back of a bad run.
We are all punters at heart and love getting 1 over on the greedy 1s and winning money, so any of you forward thinking 1s out there now it’s time to join my service, as we have never had a losing month and I am going to try my upmost (AS ALWAYS) to ensure this isn’t the 1st.
Sometimes winning and losing is defined by such small margins as BILLOWING showed on Tuesday, when we had 5pts ew at 12-1 and we were beaten by a nose bang on the line by a rag, so a nose cost us 60 points. SORYAH missed us a 12/1 place by a neck another 15 points, PANXOA lead all the way and hit 2 out which cost us again, oh shut up whinging that’s racing, but it’s sooooooooo annoying when it happens all a once.
Get over it and move on.
We have 2 great bets next week, which are not totally ground dependent (thankfully) and Steve and his hunter chases are getting ever closer.
4-45 Bath No. 3 JUBILANT QUEEN ridden by the champion jockey has already won in a class 4 race and competed in a class 3 last time, so todays class 5 against exposed and out of form sorts should be this 3yo fillies best chance of adding to her win total. I am just going to air on side of caution as rain is forecast and advise an EW bet at the 9-2 readily on offer.
Be good all, till next week.
Andy Bell Racing.