Last Weeks Of The Flat.
Monday 7th. Yesterday was a great winning day with a fruitful trip to Huntingdon and what a fantastic price CAP ELORN was for our maximum bet, I was expecting 13/8 and to end up with 9/4 was unbelievable and made us a profit of 17.5 points on the day. So a good end to a good winning week.
Not a very inspiring days racing today with very moderate horses running, but we have managed to find two ew bets 1 at Wolverhampton and 1 at Pontyfract.
GREENSWARD is a very fast finishing, but like all good each ways it’s 4th and FIRST SECRETARY was reported to have lost its 2 front shoes and also finished out of the frame. A losing day to start the week. So not an ideal start.
Tuesday 8th. Just as I was recovering from poor cards and 2 losers yesterday I am presented with todays equally poor if not poorer ones. Nothing jumps out of the page at me, even with my 3 different favoured form reading sheets, I am really struggling to find anything. The calls and texts are very quiet until last knockings when I get a call from the boys in blue saying the blinkers at home has straightened out CARIDADI which runs at Brighton today so I/we back this at 7/4.
I am desperate to start work on Saturdays Cesarewitch race over the extended 2 miles at Newmarket, but I am trashed to, as we have torrential rain forecast for later in the week and half the field will not act on rain softened ground.
I’m not sure about CARIDADI being straightened out because this time it went left and right, it obviously has ability but the quirks out weigh this at the moment, maybe left alone for now.
Wednesday 9th. Although there was not a great deal on show at Newmarket this morning Ed Vaughan was really confident about his chances at Kempton tonight with what he thinks could be his best 2yo CLAIM THE ROSES and with Ryan Moore in the plate I think this must be a bet tonight. The vibes I am getting about an Evan Williams debutant are very strong in the Flat race at Ludlow surrounding ON TOUR and is also worthy of putting up on BETFAN.
The rain hasn’t arrived as yet, but I am assured it’s most definitely coming which concerns me regarding our Cesarewitch bet so once again we have to sit on the fence and wait.
Evan Williams has banged in 2 winners already today, which leaves me thinking “oh dear” am I on the right one, a mile out all my concerns are alleviated as ON TOUR is pulling double and our money and points look safe and in the bank. ON TOUR bolts up by 5 lengths on the bridle and it’s a great start to the days punting.
I am not impressed by Ryan Moore’s AW riding and I am going to have a look at his stats to see whether he rides it as well as he does the flat or we have just been unlucky on our last 2 mounts ridden by Ryan.
The jury is out, but Ed Vaughan certainly wasn’t a happy chappy after the rather bazaar ride on CLAIM THE ROSES dropping the 6f and 7f runner out the back by 5 lengths then flying at the finish and only getting beating 1/2 a length.
A winning day, but could of been so very much better.
Thursday 10th. Another day at home and we have loads of information to try and decipher and put into actual winning bets. Ayr looks very difficult with the big fields coupled with the soft going. I am happy to go with the Tim Easterby trained RED COBRA ew at 6/1 (Chatterbox is on his game today and secures the 6s for me) as he has a good rails draw and I am told he is going to be bounced out and try to lead all the way. I also decide to put 4 of the rest in a Yankee which I do very rarely as the greedy 1s love these types of bets but at shortish prices it’s the way to go.
RED COBRA is very well backed during the course of the morning and is joint Fav at 7/2 at the off and unfortunately misses the break. The near side look out with the washing as we expected and RED COBRA is pushed through the gaps to ensure we get a place and a small win. Our Yankee finishes up with 2 winners a 2nd and a faller so a very small loss and our Thursday finishes as a level day.
Friday 11th. We have a nice problem of working out how to deal with what Charlie Longsden thinks could be his benefit day by claiming up to 8 winners. I decide to go with DROP OUT JOE in the 3-20 at Carlisle and also KILCOOLEY in the 5-30.
As it’s Friday and I have been confined to barracks all week I plan to meet the boys Paul Cabbage and Tony the Machine in town for a few beers and a catch up.
We meet in the local Weatherspoons which is strategically placed opposite 2 Coral shops and I am worried about the ease and quickness of the disappearing lagers and decide to pop a little top up double on our 2 charges across the road. However on my way out I didn’t realise that the waitress would take offense at having the old “aris” tapped with the racing post. On my return there is a welcoming committee awaiting fronted by a very bold, steamy glasses clad very young manager heheheh frothing about his waitresses modesty, bless him, was it the racing post the problem I think, maybe the times would of been more appropriate. Obviously being caged up all week is to my detriment. (all you anger filled lady’s out there I did apologise).
Lunch time curries and I think has the dear old Fred Dibner come back to join us as the huffing and puffing and steam is flying, no its only Cabbage, with every mouth full being accompanied with a huff a puff and “this has some Oomph.”
We leave and head closer to home, racing posts firming tucked under our arms, I hasten to add and head for the local with Racing UK and attheraces on stream.
Charlie has already racked up 3 winners, ours included DROP OUT JOE at a nice price and profit and I just wonder how close he’s going to get to the predicted 8.
KILCOOLEY is 10 lengths clear and trading at 1.01 and I think nice double on the day and 6 winners for Charlie only for the fav to catch us on the line and scuppers my double and leave Charlie with 5 winners. Mmmmm I wonder did Noel go too early because he ran on at the death again??
Very frustrating we have hit a winner everyday apart from 2, but we can’t quite kick on because of a string of seconds.
With the rain ruining our chances of a big bet at Newmarket in the Cesarewitch tomorrow we will have to look elsewhere. But we still have the Irish charge up our sleeve that Aiden O’Brien told us about at Newmarket last week.
Saturday 12th. WAR COMMAND is trading at a stand out 11/8 with Corals and W Hill coupled with what I learned last week we put this up as a big bet. BACCARAT has only had 10 runs in his life and won 4 and been very unlucky in running and also with poor draws in the others. Today he has his ground a good draw and trading at a tasty 7/1 so we also bet him ew at York. Finally we bet 2 big price runners over the sticks 16/1 and 4/1.
Newmarket is relatively quiet compared to other years that I have been here, it’s probably, as I have mentioned before due to people having to struggle for extra cash and as a lot of sports, to actually go it’s not cheap.
WAR COMMAND looks stunning and a stand out in the pre parade ring and also the paddock and is now trading at a shade odds on so I decide not to top up my already large bet.
During the race he is always brilliantly placed and when asked at the 2 furlong post the race is effectively over in a matter of strides and he wins by an easy 1 1/2 lengths. I am not sure whether he will take up his final engagement of the year at Doncaster in the racing post trophy, but if he does he will be odds on.
The connections of BACCARAT are still wooing their rotten luck as he went off a very well backed 9/2 fav and he got bumped and barged and the gaps just didn’t open up for him today, I will follow BACCARAT because he is a horse waiting to win again.
Our 2 big price runners over the sticks didn’t perform to our expectations but SPOOKYDOOKY was ridden to win and was 2nd at 16/1 for a long way until he clouted 2 out and never really recovered and finished just out of the frame and THOMAS BROWN also just missed a place finishing a frustratingly 4th.
Yet again we hit a really nice winner (WAR COMMAND) and are unlucky not to back it up with Baccarrat who was luckless in running and just missing our ews on 2 big price PLACES.
It’s a very difficult time on the flat at the moment with horses over the “top” and the ever changing ground conditions, but we have showed we are not far off the pace as we have already banged in 10 winners this month and with that little piece of luck we all need we would be flying.
I am looking forward to the jumps season to kick in because I have the very BEST contacts around, as last year clearly showed with MASSIVE profits every month.
Todays free tip is MIDNIGHT MINX 2-15fl who has schooled really well and is expected to make a winning hurdling debut and the delightful Rachel Green has an excellent record at Ffos Las.
I can feel a big week coming as we have been hitting the goal posts and cross bars and still banging in 10 winners already this month.
Until next Sunday eat and drink lots.
Andy Bell Racing