As regular readers will know (thanks Mum) Golf Bet Profits and its members are currently exploring various therapy methods to deal with the fact we can’t win a play off this season.
We have lost the last five our selections have made costing us around 400 points potential profit in the process. Some members have found helplines useful while others go for long walks to deserted fields where they scream for five minutes.
After Sundays fifth consecutive play off loss as Stephen Gallacher our 25/1 pick for the Johnnie Walker lost out to young Tommy Fleetwood I favoured the option of banging my head on the wall every ten seconds.
I then received an email which on reflection tells us much about the psychology of gamblers and why we have to stay on the train when these things occur. A member equally mystified and annoyed as Gallacher tamely folded after four days of great golf wrote “I knew he would lose when the play off started for the simple reason he was our selection” after nodding for three seconds I came to my senses and realised the reality of our situation was perfectly simple and had a rational explanation which needed no defeatist response.
We were stuck in a most unlikely statistical blip and nothing more than the kind you have to be aware is always likely to hit you. At the start of each play off the Tournament referee didn’t check with the players to say “is either of you the selection of Golf Bet Profits if so see that lake over there” yet we were all in the mindset that the Golfing Gods were keen to hit us with the new Calloway Driver where it really hurts.
As a new Tournament starts last week is gone and if we hit a playoff this week with one other player theres a 50% chance we will bring home the big cash always has been always will be and that is reassuring. Of course you still shout some abuse if not lots at the player involved but you then see the bigger picture. Although as the saying goes just because you aren’t paranoid it doesn’t mean everyone isn’t out to get you!
We have two Tournaments to have a crack at this week and they highlight why the European Tour is a very poor relation. The Welsh Open is a well established event whose favourite this week is Bernd Weisberger a highly promising young player but lets be honest hardly box office. The third fave is Ross Fisher who is only here because he can’t get in the Tournament in America. No big names means poor viewing figures less prize money and more attention on the PGA Tour in America, a worrying time.
In America it’s The Deutsche Bank in Boston as the Fedex play offs continue with Woods as fave, a man whose back was so bad during last Sunday’s round he struggled to pick the ball out of the hole. Amazingly he starts fave this week but there must be a doubt over his participation. Adam Scott won last week and he will be full of confidence with the win putting him up to number two in the world.
We are playing in both Tournaments including a 500/1 shot with a much bigger chance than those odds imply. Join us it really is the best sport to bet on. Why do they have play offs though, why not just call it a draw and pay out full price on the players sharing the lead? Sorry couldn’t help myself!
I look forward to seeing you on the fairways.
Back next Tuesday.
Simon Holden
Golf Bet Profits
http://go.betfan.com/1000/47
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