The highlight of the racing week has to be the wondrous ride Paul Carberry gave Monbeg Dude in the Welsh National. The winner made untold errors at nearly every fence and only the brilliance of the jockey got him home in front. I must admit as they approached the last I was still hoping Teaforthree would hold on as he was one of my eyecatchers weeks ago for this race when still available at 12/1.
Monbeg Dude is co-owned by former England rugby captain Mike Tindal and he has asked trainer Michael Scudamore to send the horse to his wife Zara Phillips to brush up his jumping for a tilt at the Grand National.
Zara the Queens grand daughter will use show jumping techniques to make the gelding bend his back and be more athletic at his fences. He is currently being offered at 20/1 for the Aintree spectacle but at the moment I would want that price just to jump a clear round.
Talking of my Wednesday eyecatchers they have been going great guns this week with Salden Licht, Cantlow and Athaakeel all doing the business.
I don’t actually keep a record but I reckon to level stakes you would be miles ahead following all the advices.
Moving on to today’s racing action I have decided to tip up an old successful eyecatcher of mine from last year and see if she can hit the target for us yet again.
This is Flamborough Breeze in the 6.40 Kempton. The filly seems well weighted and as is so often the case the handicapper has based her rating on her finishing position.
However if you are a shrewd judge there are many times you can take a horses mark with a pinch of salt. Take Flamborough as in one of her recent runs at Wolverhampton she was left at the start, had to race very wide and despite this she still managed to hit the line in first place.
In my opinion she is perhaps 7lbs better than her rating and with the talented Luke Morris in the plate warrants a decent each way chance at the very least.
At the time of writing she is available at 6/1 with Bet365. This brings me on to a crucial point in your betting. Regardless of what tipsters you follow or what they may tell you, always take early prices with firms that give you best odds guaranteed. Whatever is the bigger s/p or earlies you will get that price.
Also for those of us who like to bet on multiples the same rule applies never take s/p.
EYECATCHERS
Sherman McCoy trainer D.Kubler – A recent buy from the Milman yard this gelding ran a very promising 2nd at Wolverhampton and is handicapped to strike.
Lean on Pete trainer O.Pears – This one came from a mile back and despite trouble in running managed to land the spoils last time. Remember what I said above about ratings well this one is still ahead of the game.
Scamperdale trainer B.Baugh – Now an 11 year old he still has a spring in his step. This old timer has dropped miles in the ratings but don’t let that put you off. He has a finishing kick and in the right grade can be very productive.
Divertimenti trainer R.Bowring – Another old boy who wasn’t beaten far last time from a wide draw. He used up lots of energy to lead and from a better starting stall can soon show younger rivals a clean pair of heels.
Back next Wednesday be lucky.
Howard Davis.
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