My blog

Just another WordPress site

  • Blog Home
  • Latest News
  • Members Area
  • About Betfan
  • Contact

The Shrewd Tipster

November 25, 2014 By admin Leave a Comment

Following on from last week’s article about betting exchanges had some interesting debates on Social Media. One particular topic, should you be scared of a drifter? Over the years I have developed a disciplined staking plan, taking the best early prices at best odds guaranteed so if horse drifts and the SP is bigger I get a better return which is great but I’m always looking to evolve and stay ahead of the field, plus I’m greedy.

Over the past week I’ve been watching the exchange markets closely. I’m finding it significant if a shortie at odds on say 4/6 drifts to slightly odds against near the off say 13/8, mostly they lose. At the other end of the scale the double figure prices can lengthen dramatically but rarely win. Also some trainers horses moving in certain directions is very significant. It’s the ones in the 4/1 to 8/1 bracket that interest me, if you’ve analysed a race and you’re prepared to take 4/1 about your selection and back it accordingly at early price then shortly before the off it drifts to double the odds 8/1 I’d suggest going back in and backing it again as it’s now tremendous value particularly if you can watch it on TV and make sure the horse is not showing any negative signs. It’s certainly an area I’m going to monitor further, if anyone has strong opinions on this or any mathematical analysis they’d like to share please get in touch.

This weeks new entries to the All-Weather hotlist:

19/11/2014 Lingfield – MAJOR JACK set too much too do, so many hard luck stories at this track, has good AW record & still one to follow.

19/11/2014 Lingfield – LUNASEA, won well, loved the way it finished, will go onto much better things.

19/11/2014 Kempton – SPECIAL CODE, finished sixth but only beaten 2 lengths, weak in betting & given considerate introduction will improve.

22/11/2104 Lingfield – QATAR ROAD was asked to make up too much ground in what proved to be a very hot race, still open to progress.

Free Tip: 12:40 Southwell – City of Angkor Wat – Win Bet 10/3 (bet365)

Happy Punting!

Back next Tuesday.

Jimmy Welsh
The Shrewd Tipster
http://go.betfan.com/1000/295

Filed Under: Horse Racing, Sports Tagged With: Jimmy Welsh, Social Media, SP, TV

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Connect With Us

Check Out Betfans Top Tipsters

Most Popular Posts

  • Guaranteed Profits – Trading The Easy Way 18 views
  • A Club to Avoid? 17 views
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott 8 views
  • Simon Holden Racing 6 views
  • Easy Horse Race Lays 6 views
  • Dutching Your Way To Profits 5 views
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott 5 views
  • Premier League Top Four Place Up For Grabs 5 views
  • Dutching – Finding selections 5 views
  • Compounding Your Bank – MC Racing 5 views

Recent Posts

  • Trackside In Ireland – By Declan O’Donoghue
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview – By Rick Elliott
  • Today’s Sports Betting Preview & BONUS Tips – By Rick Elliott

Recent Comments

  • reviewer on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • Reg, Humpage on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • Peter Smith on Aspire Racing Multi Syndicate/Genesis Systems
  • David on The Ultimate Profit Club Trading Video
  • Watson on Simon Holden Racing Club
  • Where can i get tarceva
  • Cheap generic myambutol
  • How to buy cheap etodolac
  • Low cost zofran
  • Doxazosin online
  • What i should buy with avelox
  • Can i buy cleocin online
  • Xalatan best buy
  • Buy celebrex
  • Buy boniva online with free samples

Copyright © 2022 Betfan Ltd, 65 Morden Hill, Lewisham, London, SE13 7NP | Registered in England No. 07139640. VAT No. GB 997 6437 45