The OnParProfits golf tipping service managed through Winning Information Network achieved the Holy Grail of golf betting last week by landing the Transatlantic Double at odds of 347/1. George Coetzee and Jimmy Walker did the business for our subscribers who have now won a full year’s subscription and we are only in the second month of the new season.
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The service is looking to increase a winning run of three weeks with outright and 72 hole matchbets for the Africa Open and Northern Trust Open on the two main Tours. This week’s selections have been hand picked on the basis of having course and current form and the right attributes for decent scoring on this week’s host courses.
The Africa Open on the European Tour is being played at East London Golf Club in Eastern Cape, South Africa for the fifth year in succession. The tournament is the second week of the South Africa swing and players born in that country have an advantage over the rest of the field.
The four previous winners of the Africa Open have all been born in South Africa. Louis Oosthuizen is a two times winner while Darren Fichardt and Charl Schwartzel are also former champions. Two of those players are also major champions so the quality players often figure on the leaderboard. Local players are obviously more experienced in the prevailing conditions and South Africans are first and second favourites this week.
At just over 6600 yards this week’s host course is very short by modern standards. Rarely is a full field professional tournament played over less than 6700 yards but the course still has some significant defences. Accuracy from the tees and fairways will be key skills and the big hitters will have no advantage. Players must also putt well in order to contend.
Several local players combine decent course and current form but two other South Africans seem to have been underestimated by the bookmakers. Tjaart van der Walt and Dawie van der Walt have some solid experience of the course with the former having the best skills profile and his compatriot some decent course form. They are much bigger prices than some of their more illustrious countrymen and given the nature of the course cannot be dismissed as potential contenders.
Winning may be beyond both players as others are much higher in the world rankings. With three of the four renewals being won by major champions players who have done well in the four biggest events in golf must be considered. However, there are no major champions in the field, though several at the head of betting have some form in the majors.
The field for the Northern Trust Open on the US PGA Tour includes 21 players who have won one major or more. This total is well above average but several of the former major winners are now well past their best and not seen as potential contenders. The field includes Darren Clarke, still dining out on winning the British Open at Royal Sandwich in 2012.
Dustin Johnson is the favourite with most bookmakers, though he is yet to win a major but has the game and temperament to land one of the four most prestigious titles in the sport. Webb Simpson is the shortest priced major winner and Justin Rose, Keegan Bradley and Bubba Watson are all 28/1 or lower and major winners.
The Northern Trust Open has had several names since it was first staged in 1926 and this prestigious event is the fourth oldest non-major on the US Tour. Originally the Los Angeles Open since 1973 the event has been held at the renowned Riviera course in all bar two years. This is the course with film stars and Presidents amongst its membership.
Hogan’s Alley, named because Ben Hogan won here three times in 17 months in the late 1940’s, is becoming increasingly famous as the course where Tiger can’t win. It’s the only track on which he has played more than four events without winning. Phil Mickelson is a multiple winner but neither player is competing in California this week. Adam Scott won this tournament in 2005 though it was reduced to 36 holes due to poor weather.
Riviera is an old-fashioned test of golf, requiring players to position their tee shots well, move the ball both ways in the air and keep out of trouble. The bentgrass greens are smaller than average and have subtle contours, which makes them similar to those at Pebble Beach. In the last ten years the greens have been reshaped both to reflect the original design and to allow more pin positions.
Course knowledge and a ‘few years in the clock’ are usually notable advantages at Riviera. The tournament is known for multiple winners and players making the payout places who have contended in previous years. Seven winners in ten years between 1997 and 2006 were non-Americans. That’s possibly because international players encounter a wider variety of courses early in their careers and are therefore more comfortable having to manufacture shots on this old-fashioned track.
The changes made to Riviera in recent years have given the long hitters more of an advantage. Nevertheless its not essential to be above average in length and overall the biggest rewards are for finding greens in regulation. The event formerly known as the Nissan Open continues to be an event in which outsiders do well. John Merrick could be backed at 250-1 ahead of winning the Northern Trust Open last year.
Justin Rose has been tipped by the OnParProfits service. There are several more selections in the outright and 72 hole matchbets markets but Rose is the main pick. Any player who can win the US Open will not be fazed by a tricky course that puts a premium on accuracy over distance. Rose has the attributes to become the first English winner since Sir Nick Faldo in 1997.